New Jersey's 1st congressional district maintains a consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+10 and unanimous "Safe Democratic" or "Solid Democratic" ratings from nonpartisan forecasters ahead of the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Democrat Donald Norcross faces no primary opposition on June 2 and enters the general with substantial fundraising and name recognition in a district covering parts of Camden, Burlington, and Gloucester counties. The Republican nominee, Damon Galdo, has raised minimal funds and lacks the profile to mount a competitive challenge. These structural factors, combined with the district's voting history in recent cycles, underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. A major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or significant national political shift could narrow the margin, though such developments remain unlikely based on available evidence.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$19,401 交易量
$19,401 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
93%
共和党
8%
$19,401 交易量
$19,401 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$14,974 交易量
93%
共和党
$4,427 交易量
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New Jersey's 1st congressional district maintains a consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+10 and unanimous "Safe Democratic" or "Solid Democratic" ratings from nonpartisan forecasters ahead of the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Democrat Donald Norcross faces no primary opposition on June 2 and enters the general with substantial fundraising and name recognition in a district covering parts of Camden, Burlington, and Gloucester counties. The Republican nominee, Damon Galdo, has raised minimal funds and lacks the profile to mount a competitive challenge. These structural factors, combined with the district's voting history in recent cycles, underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. A major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or significant national political shift could narrow the margin, though such developments remain unlikely based on available evidence.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$19,401结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New Jersey's 1st congressional district maintains a consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+10 and unanimous "Safe Democratic" or "Solid Democratic" ratings from nonpartisan forecasters ahead of the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Democrat Donald Norcross faces no primary opposition on June 2 and enters the general with substantial fundraising and name recognition in a district covering parts of Camden, Burlington, and Gloucester counties. The Republican nominee, Damon Galdo, has raised minimal funds and lacks the profile to mount a competitive challenge. These structural factors, combined with the district's voting history in recent cycles, underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. A major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or significant national political shift could narrow the margin, though such developments remain unlikely based on available evidence.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$19,401结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...New Jersey's 1st congressional district maintains a consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+10 and unanimous "Safe Democratic" or "Solid Democratic" ratings from nonpartisan forecasters ahead of the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Democrat Donald Norcross faces no primary opposition on June 2 and enters the general with substantial fundraising and name recognition in a district covering parts of Camden, Burlington, and Gloucester counties. The Republican nominee, Damon Galdo, has raised minimal funds and lacks the profile to mount a competitive challenge. These structural factors, combined with the district's voting history in recent cycles, underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. A major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or significant national political shift could narrow the margin, though such developments remain unlikely based on available evidence.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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