Incumbent Democrat Donald Norcross faces Republican Damon Galdo in New Jersey’s 1st congressional district, a South Jersey area with a D+10 partisan voter index and consistent Democratic majorities in recent cycles. Norcross secured 57.8% in 2024 and advanced unopposed in the June 2026 primary, while the Republican nomination drew limited competition. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid Democratic, reflecting the district’s registration edge, urban and suburban voting patterns around Camden and Cherry Hill, and the structural advantages of incumbency in midterm environments. Trader consensus at 92.5% for the Democratic nominee aligns with these fundamentals. A shift would require an unexpected scandal, health development, or national political realignment strong enough to overcome the district’s baseline lean before the November general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$19,412 交易量
$19,412 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
93%
共和党
8%
$19,412 交易量
$19,412 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$14,985 交易量
93%
共和党
$4,427 交易量
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Donald Norcross faces Republican Damon Galdo in New Jersey’s 1st congressional district, a South Jersey area with a D+10 partisan voter index and consistent Democratic majorities in recent cycles. Norcross secured 57.8% in 2024 and advanced unopposed in the June 2026 primary, while the Republican nomination drew limited competition. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid Democratic, reflecting the district’s registration edge, urban and suburban voting patterns around Camden and Cherry Hill, and the structural advantages of incumbency in midterm environments. Trader consensus at 92.5% for the Democratic nominee aligns with these fundamentals. A shift would require an unexpected scandal, health development, or national political realignment strong enough to overcome the district’s baseline lean before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$19,412结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Donald Norcross faces Republican Damon Galdo in New Jersey’s 1st congressional district, a South Jersey area with a D+10 partisan voter index and consistent Democratic majorities in recent cycles. Norcross secured 57.8% in 2024 and advanced unopposed in the June 2026 primary, while the Republican nomination drew limited competition. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid Democratic, reflecting the district’s registration edge, urban and suburban voting patterns around Camden and Cherry Hill, and the structural advantages of incumbency in midterm environments. Trader consensus at 92.5% for the Democratic nominee aligns with these fundamentals. A shift would require an unexpected scandal, health development, or national political realignment strong enough to overcome the district’s baseline lean before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$19,412结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Donald Norcross faces Republican Damon Galdo in New Jersey’s 1st congressional district, a South Jersey area with a D+10 partisan voter index and consistent Democratic majorities in recent cycles. Norcross secured 57.8% in 2024 and advanced unopposed in the June 2026 primary, while the Republican nomination drew limited competition. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid Democratic, reflecting the district’s registration edge, urban and suburban voting patterns around Camden and Cherry Hill, and the structural advantages of incumbency in midterm environments. Trader consensus at 92.5% for the Democratic nominee aligns with these fundamentals. A shift would require an unexpected scandal, health development, or national political realignment strong enough to overcome the district’s baseline lean before the November general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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