Democratic nominee Herb Conaway, the freshman incumbent, faces Republican Michael McGuire in New Jersey’s 3rd congressional district for the November 2026 general election. The district’s D+5 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent expert ratings as Solid or Safe Democratic underpin the market’s strong consensus for a Democratic hold. Recent June primaries reinforced this positioning, with Conaway advancing unopposed while McGuire secured the Republican nomination in a low-visibility contest. Historical patterns in modestly Democratic-leaning suburban districts and the absence of major shifts in voter registration or polling trends further support trader assessments. Late developments such as unexpected national economic conditions, candidate controversies, or unusually high turnout among Republican-leaning voters in Burlington and Monmouth counties represent the primary pathways that could alter the outcome before election day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
91%
共和党
9%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
$767 Vol.
91%
共和党
$141 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic nominee Herb Conaway, the freshman incumbent, faces Republican Michael McGuire in New Jersey’s 3rd congressional district for the November 2026 general election. The district’s D+5 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent expert ratings as Solid or Safe Democratic underpin the market’s strong consensus for a Democratic hold. Recent June primaries reinforced this positioning, with Conaway advancing unopposed while McGuire secured the Republican nomination in a low-visibility contest. Historical patterns in modestly Democratic-leaning suburban districts and the absence of major shifts in voter registration or polling trends further support trader assessments. Late developments such as unexpected national economic conditions, candidate controversies, or unusually high turnout among Republican-leaning voters in Burlington and Monmouth counties represent the primary pathways that could alter the outcome before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
音量
$908終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic nominee Herb Conaway, the freshman incumbent, faces Republican Michael McGuire in New Jersey’s 3rd congressional district for the November 2026 general election. The district’s D+5 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent expert ratings as Solid or Safe Democratic underpin the market’s strong consensus for a Democratic hold. Recent June primaries reinforced this positioning, with Conaway advancing unopposed while McGuire secured the Republican nomination in a low-visibility contest. Historical patterns in modestly Democratic-leaning suburban districts and the absence of major shifts in voter registration or polling trends further support trader assessments. Late developments such as unexpected national economic conditions, candidate controversies, or unusually high turnout among Republican-leaning voters in Burlington and Monmouth counties represent the primary pathways that could alter the outcome before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$908終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic nominee Herb Conaway, the freshman incumbent, faces Republican Michael McGuire in New Jersey’s 3rd congressional district for the November 2026 general election. The district’s D+5 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent expert ratings as Solid or Safe Democratic underpin the market’s strong consensus for a Democratic hold. Recent June primaries reinforced this positioning, with Conaway advancing unopposed while McGuire secured the Republican nomination in a low-visibility contest. Historical patterns in modestly Democratic-leaning suburban districts and the absence of major shifts in voter registration or polling trends further support trader assessments. Late developments such as unexpected national economic conditions, candidate controversies, or unusually high turnout among Republican-leaning voters in Burlington and Monmouth counties represent the primary pathways that could alter the outcome before election day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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