Pennsylvania’s 3rd congressional district ranks among the nation’s most Democratic seats, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+40 and consistent double-digit margins in prior cycles that reflect its urban Philadelphia core and voter composition. The May 19, 2026 Democratic primary produced nominee Chris Rabb after no Republican candidates qualified for the ballot, leaving the general election matchup without organized opposition. These structural factors, combined with the absence of competitive polling or fundraising signals from the opposing party, sustain the current trader consensus reflected in the 93.5 percent Democratic probability. A late scandal involving the nominee or an unprecedented turnout surge could theoretically narrow the gap, yet historical patterns in the district indicate such shifts remain remote before the November 3 general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtPA-03 House Election Winner
PA-03 House Election Winner
$14,242 KL.
$14,242 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
6%
$14,242 KL.
$14,242 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$8,338 KL.
94%
Republican Party
$5,904 KL.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Pennsylvania’s 3rd congressional district ranks among the nation’s most Democratic seats, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+40 and consistent double-digit margins in prior cycles that reflect its urban Philadelphia core and voter composition. The May 19, 2026 Democratic primary produced nominee Chris Rabb after no Republican candidates qualified for the ballot, leaving the general election matchup without organized opposition. These structural factors, combined with the absence of competitive polling or fundraising signals from the opposing party, sustain the current trader consensus reflected in the 93.5 percent Democratic probability. A late scandal involving the nominee or an unprecedented turnout surge could theoretically narrow the gap, yet historical patterns in the district indicate such shifts remain remote before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Khối lượng
$14,242Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Pennsylvania’s 3rd congressional district ranks among the nation’s most Democratic seats, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+40 and consistent double-digit margins in prior cycles that reflect its urban Philadelphia core and voter composition. The May 19, 2026 Democratic primary produced nominee Chris Rabb after no Republican candidates qualified for the ballot, leaving the general election matchup without organized opposition. These structural factors, combined with the absence of competitive polling or fundraising signals from the opposing party, sustain the current trader consensus reflected in the 93.5 percent Democratic probability. A late scandal involving the nominee or an unprecedented turnout surge could theoretically narrow the gap, yet historical patterns in the district indicate such shifts remain remote before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$14,242Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Pennsylvania’s 3rd congressional district ranks among the nation’s most Democratic seats, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+40 and consistent double-digit margins in prior cycles that reflect its urban Philadelphia core and voter composition. The May 19, 2026 Democratic primary produced nominee Chris Rabb after no Republican candidates qualified for the ballot, leaving the general election matchup without organized opposition. These structural factors, combined with the absence of competitive polling or fundraising signals from the opposing party, sustain the current trader consensus reflected in the 93.5 percent Democratic probability. A late scandal involving the nominee or an unprecedented turnout surge could theoretically narrow the gap, yet historical patterns in the district indicate such shifts remain remote before the November 3 general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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