Chris Rabb secured the Democratic nomination for Pennsylvania’s 3rd congressional district in the May 2026 primary, defeating state Sen. Sharif Street and Ala Stanford in an open-seat contest following Rep. Dwight Evans’ retirement. The Philadelphia-based district ranks among the nation’s most reliably Democratic, with Kamala Harris carrying it by roughly 77 points in 2024. No Republican candidate qualified for the November general election ballot, leaving only an independent opponent. These factors—combined with the absence of competitive opposition or major recent developments that could alter the balance—underpin the strong trader consensus favoring Rabb. Late developments such as a significant scandal or health event remain the primary theoretical risks to the current positioning, though historical patterns in similarly lopsided districts indicate limited impact from such variables.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedPA-03 House Election Winner
PA-03 House Election Winner
$33,086 Vol.
$33,086 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Chris Rabb (D)
96%
Republican Party
3%
$33,086 Vol.
$33,086 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Chris Rabb (D)
$19,658 Vol.
96%
Republican Party
$13,427 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Chris Rabb secured the Democratic nomination for Pennsylvania’s 3rd congressional district in the May 2026 primary, defeating state Sen. Sharif Street and Ala Stanford in an open-seat contest following Rep. Dwight Evans’ retirement. The Philadelphia-based district ranks among the nation’s most reliably Democratic, with Kamala Harris carrying it by roughly 77 points in 2024. No Republican candidate qualified for the November general election ballot, leaving only an independent opponent. These factors—combined with the absence of competitive opposition or major recent developments that could alter the balance—underpin the strong trader consensus favoring Rabb. Late developments such as a significant scandal or health event remain the primary theoretical risks to the current positioning, though historical patterns in similarly lopsided districts indicate limited impact from such variables.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$33,086End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Chris Rabb secured the Democratic nomination for Pennsylvania’s 3rd congressional district in the May 2026 primary, defeating state Sen. Sharif Street and Ala Stanford in an open-seat contest following Rep. Dwight Evans’ retirement. The Philadelphia-based district ranks among the nation’s most reliably Democratic, with Kamala Harris carrying it by roughly 77 points in 2024. No Republican candidate qualified for the November general election ballot, leaving only an independent opponent. These factors—combined with the absence of competitive opposition or major recent developments that could alter the balance—underpin the strong trader consensus favoring Rabb. Late developments such as a significant scandal or health event remain the primary theoretical risks to the current positioning, though historical patterns in similarly lopsided districts indicate limited impact from such variables.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$33,086End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Chris Rabb secured the Democratic nomination for Pennsylvania’s 3rd congressional district in the May 2026 primary, defeating state Sen. Sharif Street and Ala Stanford in an open-seat contest following Rep. Dwight Evans’ retirement. The Philadelphia-based district ranks among the nation’s most reliably Democratic, with Kamala Harris carrying it by roughly 77 points in 2024. No Republican candidate qualified for the November general election ballot, leaving only an independent opponent. These factors—combined with the absence of competitive opposition or major recent developments that could alter the balance—underpin the strong trader consensus favoring Rabb. Late developments such as a significant scandal or health event remain the primary theoretical risks to the current positioning, though historical patterns in similarly lopsided districts indicate limited impact from such variables.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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