The 2026 United Left primary, scheduled for October 11 to select a unified presidential candidate for 2027 among participating groups including Les Écologistes, L'Après, Debout! and Génération.s, faces substantial barriers that explain the leading "canceled" outcome. Socialist Party infighting intensified after mixed municipal election results, with internal opponents blocking broader involvement and prompting public fractures such as the resignation of the party's National Assembly leader. La France Insoumise and Place Publique remain outside the process, while statements from key figures signal possible unilateral candidacies. These divisions have limited coalition momentum since the November 2025 launch by Marine Tondelier, François Ruffin, Clémentine Autain and others, keeping individual probabilities low amid ongoing uncertainty over participation and procedural viability.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于已取消 49%
Marine Tondelier 12%
François Ruffin 8.5%
Clémentine Autain 5.7%
$82,737 交易量
$82,737 交易量
2026-10-11
已取消
49%
Marine Tondelier
12%
François Ruffin
9%
Clémentine Autain
6%
本杰明·卢卡斯-伦迪
1%
Lydie Massard
<1%
已取消 49%
Marine Tondelier 12%
François Ruffin 8.5%
Clémentine Autain 5.7%
$82,737 交易量
$82,737 交易量
2026-10-11
已取消
$23,345 交易量
49%
Marine Tondelier
$30,511 交易量
12%
François Ruffin
$22,663 交易量
9%
Clémentine Autain
$4,166 交易量
6%
本杰明·卢卡斯-伦迪
$344 交易量
1%
Lydie Massard
$1,707 交易量
<1%
The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The 2026 United Left primary, scheduled for October 11 to select a unified presidential candidate for 2027 among participating groups including Les Écologistes, L'Après, Debout! and Génération.s, faces substantial barriers that explain the leading "canceled" outcome. Socialist Party infighting intensified after mixed municipal election results, with internal opponents blocking broader involvement and prompting public fractures such as the resignation of the party's National Assembly leader. La France Insoumise and Place Publique remain outside the process, while statements from key figures signal possible unilateral candidacies. These divisions have limited coalition momentum since the November 2025 launch by Marine Tondelier, François Ruffin, Clémentine Autain and others, keeping individual probabilities low amid ongoing uncertainty over participation and procedural viability.
The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
市场开放时间： May 5, 2026, 7:44 PM ET
交易量
$82,737结束日期
2026-10-11市场开放时间
May 5, 2026, 7:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The 2026 United Left primary, scheduled for October 11 to select a unified presidential candidate for 2027 among participating groups including Les Écologistes, L'Après, Debout! and Génération.s, faces substantial barriers that explain the leading "canceled" outcome. Socialist Party infighting intensified after mixed municipal election results, with internal opponents blocking broader involvement and prompting public fractures such as the resignation of the party's National Assembly leader. La France Insoumise and Place Publique remain outside the process, while statements from key figures signal possible unilateral candidacies. These divisions have limited coalition momentum since the November 2025 launch by Marine Tondelier, François Ruffin, Clémentine Autain and others, keeping individual probabilities low amid ongoing uncertainty over participation and procedural viability.
The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$82,737结束日期
2026-10-11市场开放时间
May 5, 2026, 7:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 United Left primary, scheduled for October 11 to select a unified presidential candidate for 2027 among participating groups including Les Écologistes, L'Après, Debout! and Génération.s, faces substantial barriers that explain the leading "canceled" outcome. Socialist Party infighting intensified after mixed municipal election results, with internal opponents blocking broader involvement and prompting public fractures such as the resignation of the party's National Assembly leader. La France Insoumise and Place Publique remain outside the process, while statements from key figures signal possible unilateral candidacies. These divisions have limited coalition momentum since the November 2025 launch by Marine Tondelier, François Ruffin, Clémentine Autain and others, keeping individual probabilities low amid ongoing uncertainty over participation and procedural viability.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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