The Socialist Party's July 2026 membership vote to hold a closed primary instead of joining the United Left process has removed a major participant and triggered candidate withdrawals, stalling momentum for the October 11 contest among remaining groups such as Les Écologistes, L'Après, and Debout!. La France Insoumise and the Communist Party declined involvement from the outset, while limited remaining signatories and internal criticism after the 2026 municipal elections have aligned trader consensus with the market's explicit cancellation criteria. Late official reversals by organizers or new commitments from additional parties could still alter the trajectory, though structural barriers from the fragmented left coalition make such shifts improbable.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedCanceled 92.3%
Marine Tondelier 1.3%
François Ruffin 1.2%
Clémentine Autain <1%
$223,406 Vol.
$223,406 Vol.
Oct 10, 2026
Canceled
92%
Marine Tondelier
1%
François Ruffin
1%
Clémentine Autain
1%
Benjamin Lucas-Lundy
<1%
Lydie Massard
<1%
Canceled 92.3%
Marine Tondelier 1.3%
François Ruffin 1.2%
Clémentine Autain <1%
$223,406 Vol.
$223,406 Vol.
Oct 10, 2026
Canceled
$87,693 Vol.
92%
Marine Tondelier
$49,788 Vol.
1%
François Ruffin
$31,112 Vol.
1%
Clémentine Autain
$7,369 Vol.
1%
Benjamin Lucas-Lundy
$4,216 Vol.
<1%
Lydie Massard
$43,228 Vol.
<1%
The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The Socialist Party's July 2026 membership vote to hold a closed primary instead of joining the United Left process has removed a major participant and triggered candidate withdrawals, stalling momentum for the October 11 contest among remaining groups such as Les Écologistes, L'Après, and Debout!. La France Insoumise and the Communist Party declined involvement from the outset, while limited remaining signatories and internal criticism after the 2026 municipal elections have aligned trader consensus with the market's explicit cancellation criteria. Late official reversals by organizers or new commitments from additional parties could still alter the trajectory, though structural barriers from the fragmented left coalition make such shifts improbable.
The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Market Opened: May 5, 2026, 7:44 PM ET
Volume
$223,406End Date
Oct 11, 2026Market Opened
May 5, 2026, 7:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The Socialist Party's July 2026 membership vote to hold a closed primary instead of joining the United Left process has removed a major participant and triggered candidate withdrawals, stalling momentum for the October 11 contest among remaining groups such as Les Écologistes, L'Après, and Debout!. La France Insoumise and the Communist Party declined involvement from the outset, while limited remaining signatories and internal criticism after the 2026 municipal elections have aligned trader consensus with the market's explicit cancellation criteria. Late official reversals by organizers or new commitments from additional parties could still alter the trajectory, though structural barriers from the fragmented left coalition make such shifts improbable.
The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$223,406End Date
Oct 11, 2026Market Opened
May 5, 2026, 7:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Socialist Party's July 2026 membership vote to hold a closed primary instead of joining the United Left process has removed a major participant and triggered candidate withdrawals, stalling momentum for the October 11 contest among remaining groups such as Les Écologistes, L'Après, and Debout!. La France Insoumise and the Communist Party declined involvement from the outset, while limited remaining signatories and internal criticism after the 2026 municipal elections have aligned trader consensus with the market's explicit cancellation criteria. Late official reversals by organizers or new commitments from additional parties could still alter the trajectory, though structural barriers from the fragmented left coalition make such shifts improbable.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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