Tennessee's 6th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat ahead of the November 2026 general election, following May 2026 redistricting that preserved its conservative tilt. The open race, created by incumbent John Rose's gubernatorial bid, features a competitive Republican primary on August 6 among candidates including state Representative Johnny Garrett and former U.S. Representative Van Hilleary, while the Democratic primary draws a limited field. Analyst ratings classify the contest as Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the district's recent performance favoring GOP candidates by wide margins. Trader consensus pricing at 92.5% for a Republican win reflects this structural advantage and historical patterns in similar districts, though an unusually strong Democratic nominee or late-cycle shifts in voter turnout could narrow the margin in the general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日共和党
93%
民主党
7%
共和党
93%
民主党
7%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tennessee's 6th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat ahead of the November 2026 general election, following May 2026 redistricting that preserved its conservative tilt. The open race, created by incumbent John Rose's gubernatorial bid, features a competitive Republican primary on August 6 among candidates including state Representative Johnny Garrett and former U.S. Representative Van Hilleary, while the Democratic primary draws a limited field. Analyst ratings classify the contest as Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the district's recent performance favoring GOP candidates by wide margins. Trader consensus pricing at 92.5% for a Republican win reflects this structural advantage and historical patterns in similar districts, though an unusually strong Democratic nominee or late-cycle shifts in voter turnout could narrow the margin in the general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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