Tennessee’s 6th Congressional District carries an R+13 partisan voter index and has elected Republicans continuously since 2011, giving the party nominee a durable structural edge in the November 3, 2026 general election. The seat opened when incumbent John Rose retired to pursue the governorship; state Representative Johnny Garrett secured the Republican nomination in the August 6 primary, defeating Van Hilleary and others with a plurality amid a crowded field. Democrat Mike Croley won a fragmented primary but trails substantially in fundraising and name recognition. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, and prediction-market pricing reflects the consensus that only an unusually large national Democratic swing or unforeseen candidate-specific disruption would alter the outcome before Election Day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedTN-06 House Election Winner
TN-06 House Election Winner
$13,147 Vol.
$13,147 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
6%
$13,147 Vol.
$13,147 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$8,646 Vol.
94%
Democratic Party
$4,501 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee’s 6th Congressional District carries an R+13 partisan voter index and has elected Republicans continuously since 2011, giving the party nominee a durable structural edge in the November 3, 2026 general election. The seat opened when incumbent John Rose retired to pursue the governorship; state Representative Johnny Garrett secured the Republican nomination in the August 6 primary, defeating Van Hilleary and others with a plurality amid a crowded field. Democrat Mike Croley won a fragmented primary but trails substantially in fundraising and name recognition. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, and prediction-market pricing reflects the consensus that only an unusually large national Democratic swing or unforeseen candidate-specific disruption would alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$13,147End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee’s 6th Congressional District carries an R+13 partisan voter index and has elected Republicans continuously since 2011, giving the party nominee a durable structural edge in the November 3, 2026 general election. The seat opened when incumbent John Rose retired to pursue the governorship; state Representative Johnny Garrett secured the Republican nomination in the August 6 primary, defeating Van Hilleary and others with a plurality amid a crowded field. Democrat Mike Croley won a fragmented primary but trails substantially in fundraising and name recognition. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, and prediction-market pricing reflects the consensus that only an unusually large national Democratic swing or unforeseen candidate-specific disruption would alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$13,147End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tennessee’s 6th Congressional District carries an R+13 partisan voter index and has elected Republicans continuously since 2011, giving the party nominee a durable structural edge in the November 3, 2026 general election. The seat opened when incumbent John Rose retired to pursue the governorship; state Representative Johnny Garrett secured the Republican nomination in the August 6 primary, defeating Van Hilleary and others with a plurality amid a crowded field. Democrat Mike Croley won a fragmented primary but trails substantially in fundraising and name recognition. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, and prediction-market pricing reflects the consensus that only an unusually large national Democratic swing or unforeseen candidate-specific disruption would alter the outcome before Election Day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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