Tennessee’s May 2026 congressional redistricting removed the Democratic-leaning portions of Davidson County from the 5th district, producing a map that Donald Trump would have carried by 23 points in 2024 and shifting the seat’s partisan voting index sharply toward Republicans. Incumbent Republican Andy Ogles now faces a far more favorable electorate ahead of the November 3 general election, while Democratic primary contenders on August 6, including Columbia Mayor Chaz Molder, compete in a district whose structural lean has prompted nonpartisan analysts to rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. This redrawn geography remains the dominant factor behind traders assigning the Republican Party a clear majority probability in the current market.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$27,789 交易量
$27,789 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
76%
民主党
22%
$27,789 交易量
$27,789 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$13,550 交易量
76%
民主党
$14,240 交易量
22%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee’s May 2026 congressional redistricting removed the Democratic-leaning portions of Davidson County from the 5th district, producing a map that Donald Trump would have carried by 23 points in 2024 and shifting the seat’s partisan voting index sharply toward Republicans. Incumbent Republican Andy Ogles now faces a far more favorable electorate ahead of the November 3 general election, while Democratic primary contenders on August 6, including Columbia Mayor Chaz Molder, compete in a district whose structural lean has prompted nonpartisan analysts to rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. This redrawn geography remains the dominant factor behind traders assigning the Republican Party a clear majority probability in the current market.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$27,789结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee’s May 2026 congressional redistricting removed the Democratic-leaning portions of Davidson County from the 5th district, producing a map that Donald Trump would have carried by 23 points in 2024 and shifting the seat’s partisan voting index sharply toward Republicans. Incumbent Republican Andy Ogles now faces a far more favorable electorate ahead of the November 3 general election, while Democratic primary contenders on August 6, including Columbia Mayor Chaz Molder, compete in a district whose structural lean has prompted nonpartisan analysts to rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. This redrawn geography remains the dominant factor behind traders assigning the Republican Party a clear majority probability in the current market.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$27,789结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tennessee’s May 2026 congressional redistricting removed the Democratic-leaning portions of Davidson County from the 5th district, producing a map that Donald Trump would have carried by 23 points in 2024 and shifting the seat’s partisan voting index sharply toward Republicans. Incumbent Republican Andy Ogles now faces a far more favorable electorate ahead of the November 3 general election, while Democratic primary contenders on August 6, including Columbia Mayor Chaz Molder, compete in a district whose structural lean has prompted nonpartisan analysts to rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. This redrawn geography remains the dominant factor behind traders assigning the Republican Party a clear majority probability in the current market.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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