Redistricting enacted in May 2026 fundamentally altered Tennessee’s 5th Congressional District by removing Davidson County and Nashville, shifting the seat to an R+10 partisan voting index and a projected 23-point Republican advantage based on 2024 presidential results. Incumbent Republican Andy Ogles benefits directly from these boundary changes ahead of the August 6 primary and November 3 general election, with nonpartisan forecasters rating the race Solid or Likely Republican. Democratic primary contenders, including well-funded Columbia Mayor Chaz Molder, face a significantly less favorable electorate, supporting the current trader consensus reflected in the market prices.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$22,733 交易量
$22,733 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
79%
民主党
19%
$22,733 交易量
$22,733 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$10,614 交易量
79%
民主党
$12,119 交易量
19%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting enacted in May 2026 fundamentally altered Tennessee’s 5th Congressional District by removing Davidson County and Nashville, shifting the seat to an R+10 partisan voting index and a projected 23-point Republican advantage based on 2024 presidential results. Incumbent Republican Andy Ogles benefits directly from these boundary changes ahead of the August 6 primary and November 3 general election, with nonpartisan forecasters rating the race Solid or Likely Republican. Democratic primary contenders, including well-funded Columbia Mayor Chaz Molder, face a significantly less favorable electorate, supporting the current trader consensus reflected in the market prices.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$22,733结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting enacted in May 2026 fundamentally altered Tennessee’s 5th Congressional District by removing Davidson County and Nashville, shifting the seat to an R+10 partisan voting index and a projected 23-point Republican advantage based on 2024 presidential results. Incumbent Republican Andy Ogles benefits directly from these boundary changes ahead of the August 6 primary and November 3 general election, with nonpartisan forecasters rating the race Solid or Likely Republican. Democratic primary contenders, including well-funded Columbia Mayor Chaz Molder, face a significantly less favorable electorate, supporting the current trader consensus reflected in the market prices.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$22,733结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting enacted in May 2026 fundamentally altered Tennessee’s 5th Congressional District by removing Davidson County and Nashville, shifting the seat to an R+10 partisan voting index and a projected 23-point Republican advantage based on 2024 presidential results. Incumbent Republican Andy Ogles benefits directly from these boundary changes ahead of the August 6 primary and November 3 general election, with nonpartisan forecasters rating the race Solid or Likely Republican. Democratic primary contenders, including well-funded Columbia Mayor Chaz Molder, face a significantly less favorable electorate, supporting the current trader consensus reflected in the market prices.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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