Wisconsin’s 4th Congressional District remains a structural Democratic stronghold heading into the November 2026 general election, with incumbent Gwen Moore seeking another term after securing roughly 75 percent of the vote in 2024. The seat’s D+26 partisan voter index and concentration of Democratic voters in Milwaukee County have produced consistent double-digit margins for the party in recent cycles. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Democratic, and limited Republican primary activity has reinforced trader consensus around a Democratic hold at 93.5 percent. A Democratic primary featuring Moore and two challengers is scheduled for August 11, with the general election following on November 3. The only plausible shifts in odds would require Moore’s withdrawal, a significant health event, or an unforeseen late development capable of altering the district’s underlying partisan balance.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoWI-04 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
WI-04 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$23,415 Vol.
$23,415 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
94%
Partido Republicano
3%
$23,415 Vol.
$23,415 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$6,364 Vol.
94%
Partido Republicano
$17,051 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wisconsin’s 4th Congressional District remains a structural Democratic stronghold heading into the November 2026 general election, with incumbent Gwen Moore seeking another term after securing roughly 75 percent of the vote in 2024. The seat’s D+26 partisan voter index and concentration of Democratic voters in Milwaukee County have produced consistent double-digit margins for the party in recent cycles. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Democratic, and limited Republican primary activity has reinforced trader consensus around a Democratic hold at 93.5 percent. A Democratic primary featuring Moore and two challengers is scheduled for August 11, with the general election following on November 3. The only plausible shifts in odds would require Moore’s withdrawal, a significant health event, or an unforeseen late development capable of altering the district’s underlying partisan balance.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volumen
$23,415Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wisconsin’s 4th Congressional District remains a structural Democratic stronghold heading into the November 2026 general election, with incumbent Gwen Moore seeking another term after securing roughly 75 percent of the vote in 2024. The seat’s D+26 partisan voter index and concentration of Democratic voters in Milwaukee County have produced consistent double-digit margins for the party in recent cycles. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Democratic, and limited Republican primary activity has reinforced trader consensus around a Democratic hold at 93.5 percent. A Democratic primary featuring Moore and two challengers is scheduled for August 11, with the general election following on November 3. The only plausible shifts in odds would require Moore’s withdrawal, a significant health event, or an unforeseen late development capable of altering the district’s underlying partisan balance.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$23,415Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Wisconsin’s 4th Congressional District remains a structural Democratic stronghold heading into the November 2026 general election, with incumbent Gwen Moore seeking another term after securing roughly 75 percent of the vote in 2024. The seat’s D+26 partisan voter index and concentration of Democratic voters in Milwaukee County have produced consistent double-digit margins for the party in recent cycles. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Democratic, and limited Republican primary activity has reinforced trader consensus around a Democratic hold at 93.5 percent. A Democratic primary featuring Moore and two challengers is scheduled for August 11, with the general election following on November 3. The only plausible shifts in odds would require Moore’s withdrawal, a significant health event, or an unforeseen late development capable of altering the district’s underlying partisan balance.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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