The WI-04 seat in Milwaukee remains a heavily Democratic district with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+26, anchored by long-serving incumbent Gwen Moore who captured nearly 75 percent of the vote in 2024. Race raters across the board classify the contest as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the August 11 primaries and November general election. Moore faces primary challengers while the Republican side features limited opposition, producing the wide gap in trader pricing. Only an unforeseen development such as successful redistricting litigation that alters the district’s boundaries or a major scandal involving the incumbent would realistically open a path for Republican gains before November.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoWI-04 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
WI-04 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$19,598 Vol.
$19,598 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
94%
Partido Republicano
4%
$19,598 Vol.
$19,598 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$6,339 Vol.
94%
Partido Republicano
$13,259 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The WI-04 seat in Milwaukee remains a heavily Democratic district with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+26, anchored by long-serving incumbent Gwen Moore who captured nearly 75 percent of the vote in 2024. Race raters across the board classify the contest as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the August 11 primaries and November general election. Moore faces primary challengers while the Republican side features limited opposition, producing the wide gap in trader pricing. Only an unforeseen development such as successful redistricting litigation that alters the district’s boundaries or a major scandal involving the incumbent would realistically open a path for Republican gains before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volumen
$19,598Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The WI-04 seat in Milwaukee remains a heavily Democratic district with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+26, anchored by long-serving incumbent Gwen Moore who captured nearly 75 percent of the vote in 2024. Race raters across the board classify the contest as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the August 11 primaries and November general election. Moore faces primary challengers while the Republican side features limited opposition, producing the wide gap in trader pricing. Only an unforeseen development such as successful redistricting litigation that alters the district’s boundaries or a major scandal involving the incumbent would realistically open a path for Republican gains before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$19,598Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The WI-04 seat in Milwaukee remains a heavily Democratic district with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+26, anchored by long-serving incumbent Gwen Moore who captured nearly 75 percent of the vote in 2024. Race raters across the board classify the contest as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the August 11 primaries and November general election. Moore faces primary challengers while the Republican side features limited opposition, producing the wide gap in trader pricing. Only an unforeseen development such as successful redistricting litigation that alters the district’s boundaries or a major scandal involving the incumbent would realistically open a path for Republican gains before November.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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