Incumbent Republican Glenn Grothman faces Democratic nominee Bradley Smith in the November 3 general election for Wisconsin’s 6th congressional district. All major race raters classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting its R+8 Partisan Voter Index, consistent Republican performance in recent cycles, and Grothman’s prior 61 percent victory margin. Limited polling shows the incumbent leading by double digits, consistent with the district’s east-central Wisconsin base and lack of competitive history for Democrats since 1964. The August 11 primaries finalized the matchup after Smith’s narrow win in a crowded Democratic field, but produced no evident shift in the general election environment. Minor independent and Green candidates are also on the ballot, yet trader consensus continues to price in a strong Republican advantage absent major late-cycle developments.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWI-06 House Election Winner
WI-06 House Election Winner
$32,589 Vol.
$32,589 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
88%
Democratic Party
10%
$32,589 Vol.
$32,589 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$18,153 Vol.
88%
Democratic Party
$14,435 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Glenn Grothman faces Democratic nominee Bradley Smith in the November 3 general election for Wisconsin’s 6th congressional district. All major race raters classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting its R+8 Partisan Voter Index, consistent Republican performance in recent cycles, and Grothman’s prior 61 percent victory margin. Limited polling shows the incumbent leading by double digits, consistent with the district’s east-central Wisconsin base and lack of competitive history for Democrats since 1964. The August 11 primaries finalized the matchup after Smith’s narrow win in a crowded Democratic field, but produced no evident shift in the general election environment. Minor independent and Green candidates are also on the ballot, yet trader consensus continues to price in a strong Republican advantage absent major late-cycle developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$32,589End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Glenn Grothman faces Democratic nominee Bradley Smith in the November 3 general election for Wisconsin’s 6th congressional district. All major race raters classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting its R+8 Partisan Voter Index, consistent Republican performance in recent cycles, and Grothman’s prior 61 percent victory margin. Limited polling shows the incumbent leading by double digits, consistent with the district’s east-central Wisconsin base and lack of competitive history for Democrats since 1964. The August 11 primaries finalized the matchup after Smith’s narrow win in a crowded Democratic field, but produced no evident shift in the general election environment. Minor independent and Green candidates are also on the ballot, yet trader consensus continues to price in a strong Republican advantage absent major late-cycle developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$32,589End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Glenn Grothman faces Democratic nominee Bradley Smith in the November 3 general election for Wisconsin’s 6th congressional district. All major race raters classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting its R+8 Partisan Voter Index, consistent Republican performance in recent cycles, and Grothman’s prior 61 percent victory margin. Limited polling shows the incumbent leading by double digits, consistent with the district’s east-central Wisconsin base and lack of competitive history for Democrats since 1964. The August 11 primaries finalized the matchup after Smith’s narrow win in a crowded Democratic field, but produced no evident shift in the general election environment. Minor independent and Green candidates are also on the ballot, yet trader consensus continues to price in a strong Republican advantage absent major late-cycle developments.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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