The Democratic nominee holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania's 5th congressional district race due to the seat's strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in a Cook Political Report Solid D rating and consistent historical margins exceeding 30 points. Incumbent Mary Gay Scanlon advanced unopposed through the May 19, 2026 primary after securing 65.3% in 2024, while the Republican nominee faces the same limited field. Trader consensus at 93% for Democrats aligns with the district's voter patterns in Delaware and Montgomery counties. A major national political shift or unforeseen candidate development could still influence the November 3 general election outcome, though structural barriers make significant movement unlikely.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoPA-05 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
PA-05 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$21,643 Vol.
$21,643 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Dem crata
93%
Partido Republicano
6%
$21,643 Vol.
$21,643 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Dem crata
$9,361 Vol.
93%
Partido Republicano
$12,282 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic nominee holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania's 5th congressional district race due to the seat's strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in a Cook Political Report Solid D rating and consistent historical margins exceeding 30 points. Incumbent Mary Gay Scanlon advanced unopposed through the May 19, 2026 primary after securing 65.3% in 2024, while the Republican nominee faces the same limited field. Trader consensus at 93% for Democrats aligns with the district's voter patterns in Delaware and Montgomery counties. A major national political shift or unforeseen candidate development could still influence the November 3 general election outcome, though structural barriers make significant movement unlikely.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volumen
$21,643Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic nominee holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania's 5th congressional district race due to the seat's strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in a Cook Political Report Solid D rating and consistent historical margins exceeding 30 points. Incumbent Mary Gay Scanlon advanced unopposed through the May 19, 2026 primary after securing 65.3% in 2024, while the Republican nominee faces the same limited field. Trader consensus at 93% for Democrats aligns with the district's voter patterns in Delaware and Montgomery counties. A major national political shift or unforeseen candidate development could still influence the November 3 general election outcome, though structural barriers make significant movement unlikely.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$21,643Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Democratic nominee holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania's 5th congressional district race due to the seat's strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in a Cook Political Report Solid D rating and consistent historical margins exceeding 30 points. Incumbent Mary Gay Scanlon advanced unopposed through the May 19, 2026 primary after securing 65.3% in 2024, while the Republican nominee faces the same limited field. Trader consensus at 93% for Democrats aligns with the district's voter patterns in Delaware and Montgomery counties. A major national political shift or unforeseen candidate development could still influence the November 3 general election outcome, though structural barriers make significant movement unlikely.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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