Incumbent Democrat Shontel Brown secured her party's nomination for Ohio's 11th Congressional District on May 5 with 88 percent of the primary vote, setting up a general election matchup against Republican Mike Kirchner on November 3, 2026. The district's strong Democratic tilt, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+28, has long favored the party in recent cycles, including Brown's 78 percent margin in 2024. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent for the Democratic nominee aligns with this structural advantage and the absence of competitive primary opposition. A late-breaking scandal, significant health event affecting the incumbent, or an unexpectedly strong national Republican wave could narrow the gap, though such shifts remain uncommon in this solidly Democratic seat.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedOH-11 House Election Winner
OH-11 House Election Winner
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
7%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$3,220 Vol.
94%
Republican Party
$2,035 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Shontel Brown secured her party's nomination for Ohio's 11th Congressional District on May 5 with 88 percent of the primary vote, setting up a general election matchup against Republican Mike Kirchner on November 3, 2026. The district's strong Democratic tilt, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+28, has long favored the party in recent cycles, including Brown's 78 percent margin in 2024. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent for the Democratic nominee aligns with this structural advantage and the absence of competitive primary opposition. A late-breaking scandal, significant health event affecting the incumbent, or an unexpectedly strong national Republican wave could narrow the gap, though such shifts remain uncommon in this solidly Democratic seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$5,255End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Shontel Brown secured her party's nomination for Ohio's 11th Congressional District on May 5 with 88 percent of the primary vote, setting up a general election matchup against Republican Mike Kirchner on November 3, 2026. The district's strong Democratic tilt, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+28, has long favored the party in recent cycles, including Brown's 78 percent margin in 2024. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent for the Democratic nominee aligns with this structural advantage and the absence of competitive primary opposition. A late-breaking scandal, significant health event affecting the incumbent, or an unexpectedly strong national Republican wave could narrow the gap, though such shifts remain uncommon in this solidly Democratic seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$5,255End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Shontel Brown secured her party's nomination for Ohio's 11th Congressional District on May 5 with 88 percent of the primary vote, setting up a general election matchup against Republican Mike Kirchner on November 3, 2026. The district's strong Democratic tilt, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+28, has long favored the party in recent cycles, including Brown's 78 percent margin in 2024. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent for the Democratic nominee aligns with this structural advantage and the absence of competitive primary opposition. A late-breaking scandal, significant health event affecting the incumbent, or an unexpectedly strong national Republican wave could narrow the gap, though such shifts remain uncommon in this solidly Democratic seat.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions