Ohio's 11th congressional district, covering Cleveland and surrounding Cuyahoga County areas, maintains a D+28 Cook Partisan Voter Index and has delivered Democratic presidential margins exceeding 75 points in recent cycles, driven by its majority-minority demographics and urban voter base. Incumbent Democrat Shontel Brown secured renomination with over 85% in the May 2026 primary and faces a Republican nominee in a general election rated safe Democratic by multiple forecasters. Trader consensus reflected in the 97.9% Democratic price aligns with these structural factors and historical results. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen event such as a major scandal, health crisis for the incumbent, or an unprecedented national partisan realignment capable of overcoming the district's consistent voting patterns.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedOH-11 House Election Winner
OH-11 House Election Winner
$38,426 Vol.
$38,426 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
98%
Republican Party
1%
$38,426 Vol.
$38,426 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$15,629 Vol.
98%
Republican Party
$22,797 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Ohio's 11th congressional district, covering Cleveland and surrounding Cuyahoga County areas, maintains a D+28 Cook Partisan Voter Index and has delivered Democratic presidential margins exceeding 75 points in recent cycles, driven by its majority-minority demographics and urban voter base. Incumbent Democrat Shontel Brown secured renomination with over 85% in the May 2026 primary and faces a Republican nominee in a general election rated safe Democratic by multiple forecasters. Trader consensus reflected in the 97.9% Democratic price aligns with these structural factors and historical results. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen event such as a major scandal, health crisis for the incumbent, or an unprecedented national partisan realignment capable of overcoming the district's consistent voting patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$38,426End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Ohio's 11th congressional district, covering Cleveland and surrounding Cuyahoga County areas, maintains a D+28 Cook Partisan Voter Index and has delivered Democratic presidential margins exceeding 75 points in recent cycles, driven by its majority-minority demographics and urban voter base. Incumbent Democrat Shontel Brown secured renomination with over 85% in the May 2026 primary and faces a Republican nominee in a general election rated safe Democratic by multiple forecasters. Trader consensus reflected in the 97.9% Democratic price aligns with these structural factors and historical results. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen event such as a major scandal, health crisis for the incumbent, or an unprecedented national partisan realignment capable of overcoming the district's consistent voting patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$38,426End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Ohio's 11th congressional district, covering Cleveland and surrounding Cuyahoga County areas, maintains a D+28 Cook Partisan Voter Index and has delivered Democratic presidential margins exceeding 75 points in recent cycles, driven by its majority-minority demographics and urban voter base. Incumbent Democrat Shontel Brown secured renomination with over 85% in the May 2026 primary and faces a Republican nominee in a general election rated safe Democratic by multiple forecasters. Trader consensus reflected in the 97.9% Democratic price aligns with these structural factors and historical results. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen event such as a major scandal, health crisis for the incumbent, or an unprecedented national partisan realignment capable of overcoming the district's consistent voting patterns.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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