California's 6th congressional district, redrawn under Proposition 50 and featuring no incumbent after Ami Bera shifted to the neighboring 3rd district, held its June 2, 2026, primary and advanced Democrat Richard Pan and independent Kevin Kiley (a former Republican representative) to the November 3 general election. Pan's established record as a state senator and physician, combined with the district's underlying Democratic lean in Sacramento and surrounding areas, underpins trader consensus that the Democratic nominee holds a strong position. Kiley's recent party switch to no party preference has not generated sufficient momentum to close the gap, consistent with historical patterns in similar California House contests. A late national Republican surge, unusually high independent turnout, or major shifts in voter registration could narrow the margin, though such developments remain low-probability based on current indicators.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$33,630 交易量
$33,630 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
96%
共和党
4%
$33,630 交易量
$33,630 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$11,225 交易量
96%
共和党
$22,405 交易量
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 6th congressional district, redrawn under Proposition 50 and featuring no incumbent after Ami Bera shifted to the neighboring 3rd district, held its June 2, 2026, primary and advanced Democrat Richard Pan and independent Kevin Kiley (a former Republican representative) to the November 3 general election. Pan's established record as a state senator and physician, combined with the district's underlying Democratic lean in Sacramento and surrounding areas, underpins trader consensus that the Democratic nominee holds a strong position. Kiley's recent party switch to no party preference has not generated sufficient momentum to close the gap, consistent with historical patterns in similar California House contests. A late national Republican surge, unusually high independent turnout, or major shifts in voter registration could narrow the margin, though such developments remain low-probability based on current indicators.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
交易量
$33,630结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 6th congressional district, redrawn under Proposition 50 and featuring no incumbent after Ami Bera shifted to the neighboring 3rd district, held its June 2, 2026, primary and advanced Democrat Richard Pan and independent Kevin Kiley (a former Republican representative) to the November 3 general election. Pan's established record as a state senator and physician, combined with the district's underlying Democratic lean in Sacramento and surrounding areas, underpins trader consensus that the Democratic nominee holds a strong position. Kiley's recent party switch to no party preference has not generated sufficient momentum to close the gap, consistent with historical patterns in similar California House contests. A late national Republican surge, unusually high independent turnout, or major shifts in voter registration could narrow the margin, though such developments remain low-probability based on current indicators.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$33,630结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 6th congressional district, redrawn under Proposition 50 and featuring no incumbent after Ami Bera shifted to the neighboring 3rd district, held its June 2, 2026, primary and advanced Democrat Richard Pan and independent Kevin Kiley (a former Republican representative) to the November 3 general election. Pan's established record as a state senator and physician, combined with the district's underlying Democratic lean in Sacramento and surrounding areas, underpins trader consensus that the Democratic nominee holds a strong position. Kiley's recent party switch to no party preference has not generated sufficient momentum to close the gap, consistent with historical patterns in similar California House contests. A late national Republican surge, unusually high independent turnout, or major shifts in voter registration could narrow the margin, though such developments remain low-probability based on current indicators.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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