Incumbent Republican Pete Stauber holds a strong position in Minnesota’s 8th Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election. The rural, resource-focused district carries a Republican-leaning partisan voting index and has delivered consistent GOP victories in recent cycles, including Stauber’s 58% win in 2024. Both candidates cleared their August 11 primaries without difficulty, leaving Stauber as the clear frontrunner against Democrat Trina Swanson. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district’s voting history, limited Democratic infrastructure in key Iron Range and northern counties, and the structural advantages of incumbency. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the seat’s established baseline rather than any single late-breaking event.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMN-08 House Election Winner
MN-08 House Election Winner
$21,160 Vol.
$21,160 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Pete Stauber (R)
86%
Trina Swanson (D)
14%
$21,160 Vol.
$21,160 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Pete Stauber (R)
$11,288 Vol.
86%
Trina Swanson (D)
$9,873 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Pete Stauber holds a strong position in Minnesota’s 8th Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election. The rural, resource-focused district carries a Republican-leaning partisan voting index and has delivered consistent GOP victories in recent cycles, including Stauber’s 58% win in 2024. Both candidates cleared their August 11 primaries without difficulty, leaving Stauber as the clear frontrunner against Democrat Trina Swanson. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district’s voting history, limited Democratic infrastructure in key Iron Range and northern counties, and the structural advantages of incumbency. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the seat’s established baseline rather than any single late-breaking event.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$21,160End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Pete Stauber holds a strong position in Minnesota’s 8th Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election. The rural, resource-focused district carries a Republican-leaning partisan voting index and has delivered consistent GOP victories in recent cycles, including Stauber’s 58% win in 2024. Both candidates cleared their August 11 primaries without difficulty, leaving Stauber as the clear frontrunner against Democrat Trina Swanson. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district’s voting history, limited Democratic infrastructure in key Iron Range and northern counties, and the structural advantages of incumbency. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the seat’s established baseline rather than any single late-breaking event.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$21,160End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Pete Stauber holds a strong position in Minnesota’s 8th Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election. The rural, resource-focused district carries a Republican-leaning partisan voting index and has delivered consistent GOP victories in recent cycles, including Stauber’s 58% win in 2024. Both candidates cleared their August 11 primaries without difficulty, leaving Stauber as the clear frontrunner against Democrat Trina Swanson. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district’s voting history, limited Democratic infrastructure in key Iron Range and northern counties, and the structural advantages of incumbency. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the seat’s established baseline rather than any single late-breaking event.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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