Incumbent Republican Nathaniel Moran faces Democrat Yolanda Prince and an independent in the November 2026 general election for Texas's 1st congressional district. The seat has long favored Republicans, with the party securing strong margins in recent cycles, including presidential and Senate results exceeding 70 percent in 2024. Moran advanced through the Republican primary without significant opposition, while Prince emerged from a Democratic runoff. Nonpartisan analysts rate the race Solid or Safe Republican based on the district's East Texas voter composition and partisan baseline. Trader pricing at 93.5 percent for the Republican nominee aligns with this structural advantage. A late national Democratic surge, major scandal, or unforeseen health event could narrow the gap, though such shifts remain uncommon in this district.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$11,384 交易量
$11,384 交易量
共和党
94%
民主党
7%
$11,384 交易量
$11,384 交易量
共和党
94%
民主党
7%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Nathaniel Moran faces Democrat Yolanda Prince and an independent in the November 2026 general election for Texas's 1st congressional district. The seat has long favored Republicans, with the party securing strong margins in recent cycles, including presidential and Senate results exceeding 70 percent in 2024. Moran advanced through the Republican primary without significant opposition, while Prince emerged from a Democratic runoff. Nonpartisan analysts rate the race Solid or Safe Republican based on the district's East Texas voter composition and partisan baseline. Trader pricing at 93.5 percent for the Republican nominee aligns with this structural advantage. A late national Democratic surge, major scandal, or unforeseen health event could narrow the gap, though such shifts remain uncommon in this district.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题