Incumbent Republican Nick LaLota benefits from the district’s R+4 partisan voter index and his 2024 reelection margin, positioning the Republican Party as the leading outcome in trader consensus for the November 3 general election. Primaries scheduled for June 23 have drawn limited Democratic challengers while LaLota faces minimal primary opposition, reinforcing expectations of a Republican hold in this Suffolk County seat. A December 2025 poll showed LaLota ahead by three points, and nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solid or likely Republican, reflecting the district’s historical voting patterns and fundraising edge for the incumbent. No major legislative or redistricting developments have altered the landscape in recent weeks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$20,287 交易量
$20,287 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
63%
民主党
28%
$20,287 交易量
$20,287 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$6,358 交易量
63%
民主党
$13,929 交易量
28%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nick LaLota benefits from the district’s R+4 partisan voter index and his 2024 reelection margin, positioning the Republican Party as the leading outcome in trader consensus for the November 3 general election. Primaries scheduled for June 23 have drawn limited Democratic challengers while LaLota faces minimal primary opposition, reinforcing expectations of a Republican hold in this Suffolk County seat. A December 2025 poll showed LaLota ahead by three points, and nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solid or likely Republican, reflecting the district’s historical voting patterns and fundraising edge for the incumbent. No major legislative or redistricting developments have altered the landscape in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
交易量
$20,287结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nick LaLota benefits from the district’s R+4 partisan voter index and his 2024 reelection margin, positioning the Republican Party as the leading outcome in trader consensus for the November 3 general election. Primaries scheduled for June 23 have drawn limited Democratic challengers while LaLota faces minimal primary opposition, reinforcing expectations of a Republican hold in this Suffolk County seat. A December 2025 poll showed LaLota ahead by three points, and nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solid or likely Republican, reflecting the district’s historical voting patterns and fundraising edge for the incumbent. No major legislative or redistricting developments have altered the landscape in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$20,287结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Nick LaLota benefits from the district’s R+4 partisan voter index and his 2024 reelection margin, positioning the Republican Party as the leading outcome in trader consensus for the November 3 general election. Primaries scheduled for June 23 have drawn limited Democratic challengers while LaLota faces minimal primary opposition, reinforcing expectations of a Republican hold in this Suffolk County seat. A December 2025 poll showed LaLota ahead by three points, and nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solid or likely Republican, reflecting the district’s historical voting patterns and fundraising edge for the incumbent. No major legislative or redistricting developments have altered the landscape in recent weeks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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