Republican incumbent Andrew Garbarino faces Democrat Patrick Halpin in New York’s 2nd congressional district, a Suffolk County-based seat with an R+6 partisan lean. Garbarino secured the Republican nomination without opposition after the June 23 primary, while Halpin advanced unopposed on the Democratic side. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the incumbent’s 2024 victory margin near 60 percent, substantial fundraising edge exceeding $3.5 million raised versus under $500,000 for Halpin, and the district’s consistent Republican performance in recent cycles. No major campaign developments or polling shifts have altered this positioning ahead of the November 3 general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNY-02 House Election Winner
NY-02 House Election Winner
$17,675 Vol.
$17,675 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
87%
Democratic Party
14%
$17,675 Vol.
$17,675 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$7,134 Vol.
87%
Democratic Party
$10,541 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Andrew Garbarino faces Democrat Patrick Halpin in New York’s 2nd congressional district, a Suffolk County-based seat with an R+6 partisan lean. Garbarino secured the Republican nomination without opposition after the June 23 primary, while Halpin advanced unopposed on the Democratic side. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the incumbent’s 2024 victory margin near 60 percent, substantial fundraising edge exceeding $3.5 million raised versus under $500,000 for Halpin, and the district’s consistent Republican performance in recent cycles. No major campaign developments or polling shifts have altered this positioning ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Volume
$17,675End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Andrew Garbarino faces Democrat Patrick Halpin in New York’s 2nd congressional district, a Suffolk County-based seat with an R+6 partisan lean. Garbarino secured the Republican nomination without opposition after the June 23 primary, while Halpin advanced unopposed on the Democratic side. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the incumbent’s 2024 victory margin near 60 percent, substantial fundraising edge exceeding $3.5 million raised versus under $500,000 for Halpin, and the district’s consistent Republican performance in recent cycles. No major campaign developments or polling shifts have altered this positioning ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$17,675End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Andrew Garbarino faces Democrat Patrick Halpin in New York’s 2nd congressional district, a Suffolk County-based seat with an R+6 partisan lean. Garbarino secured the Republican nomination without opposition after the June 23 primary, while Halpin advanced unopposed on the Democratic side. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the incumbent’s 2024 victory margin near 60 percent, substantial fundraising edge exceeding $3.5 million raised versus under $500,000 for Halpin, and the district’s consistent Republican performance in recent cycles. No major campaign developments or polling shifts have altered this positioning ahead of the November 3 general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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