Incumbent Democrat Rick Larsen seeks re-election in Washington's 2nd congressional district, rated Solid Democratic by forecasters, following his 2024 victory by nearly 28 points in a district with a strong partisan lean. The upcoming August 4 top-two primary features Larsen alongside two fellow Democrats and one Republican, setting up a general election where the Democratic nominee is expected to prevail given historical voting patterns and the absence of competitive Republican infrastructure. Trader consensus reflects the district's consistent Democratic margins in recent cycles, including presidential and statewide results, with limited signs of shifts from polling or candidate developments. A major national Republican wave, an unusually strong GOP primary performer, or an unforeseen primary upset could introduce volatility, though structural factors limit such possibilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей WA-02
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей WA-02
$11,312 Объем
$11,312 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
94%
Республиканская партия
7%
$11,312 Объем
$11,312 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$9,389 Объем
94%
Республиканская партия
$1,922 Объем
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Rick Larsen seeks re-election in Washington's 2nd congressional district, rated Solid Democratic by forecasters, following his 2024 victory by nearly 28 points in a district with a strong partisan lean. The upcoming August 4 top-two primary features Larsen alongside two fellow Democrats and one Republican, setting up a general election where the Democratic nominee is expected to prevail given historical voting patterns and the absence of competitive Republican infrastructure. Trader consensus reflects the district's consistent Democratic margins in recent cycles, including presidential and statewide results, with limited signs of shifts from polling or candidate developments. A major national Republican wave, an unusually strong GOP primary performer, or an unforeseen primary upset could introduce volatility, though structural factors limit such possibilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Объем
$11,312Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Rick Larsen seeks re-election in Washington's 2nd congressional district, rated Solid Democratic by forecasters, following his 2024 victory by nearly 28 points in a district with a strong partisan lean. The upcoming August 4 top-two primary features Larsen alongside two fellow Democrats and one Republican, setting up a general election where the Democratic nominee is expected to prevail given historical voting patterns and the absence of competitive Republican infrastructure. Trader consensus reflects the district's consistent Democratic margins in recent cycles, including presidential and statewide results, with limited signs of shifts from polling or candidate developments. A major national Republican wave, an unusually strong GOP primary performer, or an unforeseen primary upset could introduce volatility, though structural factors limit such possibilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$11,312Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Rick Larsen seeks re-election in Washington's 2nd congressional district, rated Solid Democratic by forecasters, following his 2024 victory by nearly 28 points in a district with a strong partisan lean. The upcoming August 4 top-two primary features Larsen alongside two fellow Democrats and one Republican, setting up a general election where the Democratic nominee is expected to prevail given historical voting patterns and the absence of competitive Republican infrastructure. Trader consensus reflects the district's consistent Democratic margins in recent cycles, including presidential and statewide results, with limited signs of shifts from polling or candidate developments. A major national Republican wave, an unusually strong GOP primary performer, or an unforeseen primary upset could introduce volatility, though structural factors limit such possibilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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