Rick Larsen’s long incumbency in Washington’s 2nd District, a reliably Democratic seat that he has held since 2001, anchors trader expectations ahead of the November 3 general election. His 45 percent primary finish in August, well ahead of Republican Edwin Feller’s 33 percent, demonstrated consolidated support against a divided Democratic field and an underfunded challenger. Forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Democratic, consistent with Larsen’s 2024 performance and substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $2 million. Feller, an 83-year-old political newcomer, faces structural barriers including limited visibility and the district’s partisan composition. Late developments such as a major scandal or health event could theoretically alter the outcome, though current conditions show no such catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWA-02 House Election Winner
WA-02 House Election Winner
$30,672 Vol.
$30,672 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Rick Larsen (D)
96%
Edwin Feller (R)
1%
$30,672 Vol.
$30,672 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Rick Larsen (D)
$13,157 Vol.
96%
Edwin Feller (R)
$17,515 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Rick Larsen’s long incumbency in Washington’s 2nd District, a reliably Democratic seat that he has held since 2001, anchors trader expectations ahead of the November 3 general election. His 45 percent primary finish in August, well ahead of Republican Edwin Feller’s 33 percent, demonstrated consolidated support against a divided Democratic field and an underfunded challenger. Forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Democratic, consistent with Larsen’s 2024 performance and substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $2 million. Feller, an 83-year-old political newcomer, faces structural barriers including limited visibility and the district’s partisan composition. Late developments such as a major scandal or health event could theoretically alter the outcome, though current conditions show no such catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$30,672End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Rick Larsen’s long incumbency in Washington’s 2nd District, a reliably Democratic seat that he has held since 2001, anchors trader expectations ahead of the November 3 general election. His 45 percent primary finish in August, well ahead of Republican Edwin Feller’s 33 percent, demonstrated consolidated support against a divided Democratic field and an underfunded challenger. Forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Democratic, consistent with Larsen’s 2024 performance and substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $2 million. Feller, an 83-year-old political newcomer, faces structural barriers including limited visibility and the district’s partisan composition. Late developments such as a major scandal or health event could theoretically alter the outcome, though current conditions show no such catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$30,672End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Rick Larsen’s long incumbency in Washington’s 2nd District, a reliably Democratic seat that he has held since 2001, anchors trader expectations ahead of the November 3 general election. His 45 percent primary finish in August, well ahead of Republican Edwin Feller’s 33 percent, demonstrated consolidated support against a divided Democratic field and an underfunded challenger. Forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Democratic, consistent with Larsen’s 2024 performance and substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $2 million. Feller, an 83-year-old political newcomer, faces structural barriers including limited visibility and the district’s partisan composition. Late developments such as a major scandal or health event could theoretically alter the outcome, though current conditions show no such catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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