Recent Israeli polls indicate a fragmented Knesset ahead of the October 27 election, with neither the Likud-led bloc under Benjamin Netanyahu nor the Yashar-led opposition under Gadi Eisenkot consistently reaching the 61 seats needed for a majority. Final candidate lists were submitted in early September, followed by surplus-vote agreements among parties including Yashar and The Democrats, Together and Yisrael Beiteinu, and the Joint List with Ra'am. Smaller parties such as Otzma Yehudit, Religious Zionism, Shas, United Torah Judaism, and new entrants like People of Israel hover near or above the 3.25% threshold, creating volatility in seat projections. Traders focus on turnout shifts, bloc negotiations, and late-campaign developments that could determine which marginal lists secure representation in the 120-seat parliament.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNEW
Nov 30, 2026
Ra'am
90%
RZP-Zehut
86%
Amcha Yisrael
76%
Reservists and New Economic Party
30%
Blue & White
9%
$1,433 Vol.
Ra'am
$88 Vol.
90%
RZP-Zehut
$807 Vol.
86%
Amcha Yisrael
$120 Vol.
76%
Reservists and New Economic Party
$109 Vol.
30%
Blue & White
$309 Vol.
9%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. A candidate list must clear an electoral threshold of 3.25% of valid votes in order to win any seats in the Knesset.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed party wins at least one seat in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent Israeli polls indicate a fragmented Knesset ahead of the October 27 election, with neither the Likud-led bloc under Benjamin Netanyahu nor the Yashar-led opposition under Gadi Eisenkot consistently reaching the 61 seats needed for a majority. Final candidate lists were submitted in early September, followed by surplus-vote agreements among parties including Yashar and The Democrats, Together and Yisrael Beiteinu, and the Joint List with Ra'am. Smaller parties such as Otzma Yehudit, Religious Zionism, Shas, United Torah Judaism, and new entrants like People of Israel hover near or above the 3.25% threshold, creating volatility in seat projections. Traders focus on turnout shifts, bloc negotiations, and late-campaign developments that could determine which marginal lists secure representation in the 120-seat parliament.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. A candidate list must clear an electoral threshold of 3.25% of valid votes in order to win any seats in the Knesset.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed party wins at least one seat in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed party wins at least one seat in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Market Opened: Sep 9, 2026, 5:30 PM ET
Volume
$1,433End Date
Oct 27, 2026Market Opened
Sep 9, 2026, 5:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. A candidate list must clear an electoral threshold of 3.25% of valid votes in order to win any seats in the Knesset.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed party wins at least one seat in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent Israeli polls indicate a fragmented Knesset ahead of the October 27 election, with neither the Likud-led bloc under Benjamin Netanyahu nor the Yashar-led opposition under Gadi Eisenkot consistently reaching the 61 seats needed for a majority. Final candidate lists were submitted in early September, followed by surplus-vote agreements among parties including Yashar and The Democrats, Together and Yisrael Beiteinu, and the Joint List with Ra'am. Smaller parties such as Otzma Yehudit, Religious Zionism, Shas, United Torah Judaism, and new entrants like People of Israel hover near or above the 3.25% threshold, creating volatility in seat projections. Traders focus on turnout shifts, bloc negotiations, and late-campaign developments that could determine which marginal lists secure representation in the 120-seat parliament.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. A candidate list must clear an electoral threshold of 3.25% of valid votes in order to win any seats in the Knesset.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed party wins at least one seat in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed party wins at least one seat in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Volume
$1,433End Date
Oct 27, 2026Market Opened
Sep 9, 2026, 5:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent Israeli polls indicate a fragmented Knesset ahead of the October 27 election, with neither the Likud-led bloc under Benjamin Netanyahu nor the Yashar-led opposition under Gadi Eisenkot consistently reaching the 61 seats needed for a majority. Final candidate lists were submitted in early September, followed by surplus-vote agreements among parties including Yashar and The Democrats, Together and Yisrael Beiteinu, and the Joint List with Ra'am. Smaller parties such as Otzma Yehudit, Religious Zionism, Shas, United Torah Judaism, and new entrants like People of Israel hover near or above the 3.25% threshold, creating volatility in seat projections. Traders focus on turnout shifts, bloc negotiations, and late-campaign developments that could determine which marginal lists secure representation in the 120-seat parliament.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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