Recent polling averages ahead of Sweden’s September 13 parliamentary election place the Social Democrats first with roughly 28 percent support, followed by the Sweden Democrats near 19 percent and the Moderates around 17 percent, establishing a stable ordering that has held through the final weeks of the campaign. This positioning reflects the Sweden Democrats’ consistent second-place standing in voter intention surveys across multiple institutes, supported by sustained backing on issues such as immigration and crime. The Moderates trail as the third party in the same data, with limited movement that has kept them behind the Sweden Democrats. Other parties remain well below these levels and show no signs of closing the gap in the closing days. Trader pricing on the 2nd-place market aligns with this polling pattern, assigning the Sweden Democrats the clear lead in implied probability while treating a Moderate finish second as the main alternative scenario.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedSweden Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
Sweden Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
Sweden Democrats (SD) 78%
Moderate Party (M) 24%
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) <1%
Centre Party (C) <1%
$270,332 Vol.
$270,332 Vol.
Sep 12, 2026
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
1%
Sweden Democrats (SD)
78%
Moderate Party (M)
24%
Centre Party (C)
<1%
Left Party (V)
<1%
Christian Democrats (KD)
<1%
Green Party (MP)
<1%
Liberals (L)
<1%
Citizens' Coalition (MED)
<1%
Sweden Democrats (SD) 78%
Moderate Party (M) 24%
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) <1%
Centre Party (C) <1%
$270,332 Vol.
$270,332 Vol.
Sep 12, 2026
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
$29,938 Vol.
1%
Sweden Democrats (SD)
$133,359 Vol.
78%
Moderate Party (M)
$79,720 Vol.
24%
Centre Party (C)
$4,242 Vol.
<1%
Left Party (V)
$7,350 Vol.
<1%
Christian Democrats (KD)
$4,352 Vol.
<1%
Green Party (MP)
$3,781 Vol.
<1%
Liberals (L)
$3,901 Vol.
<1%
Citizens' Coalition (MED)
$3,689 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent polling averages ahead of Sweden’s September 13 parliamentary election place the Social Democrats first with roughly 28 percent support, followed by the Sweden Democrats near 19 percent and the Moderates around 17 percent, establishing a stable ordering that has held through the final weeks of the campaign. This positioning reflects the Sweden Democrats’ consistent second-place standing in voter intention surveys across multiple institutes, supported by sustained backing on issues such as immigration and crime. The Moderates trail as the third party in the same data, with limited movement that has kept them behind the Sweden Democrats. Other parties remain well below these levels and show no signs of closing the gap in the closing days. Trader pricing on the 2nd-place market aligns with this polling pattern, assigning the Sweden Democrats the clear lead in implied probability while treating a Moderate finish second as the main alternative scenario.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Market Opened: May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ET
Volume
$270,332End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent polling averages ahead of Sweden’s September 13 parliamentary election place the Social Democrats first with roughly 28 percent support, followed by the Sweden Democrats near 19 percent and the Moderates around 17 percent, establishing a stable ordering that has held through the final weeks of the campaign. This positioning reflects the Sweden Democrats’ consistent second-place standing in voter intention surveys across multiple institutes, supported by sustained backing on issues such as immigration and crime. The Moderates trail as the third party in the same data, with limited movement that has kept them behind the Sweden Democrats. Other parties remain well below these levels and show no signs of closing the gap in the closing days. Trader pricing on the 2nd-place market aligns with this polling pattern, assigning the Sweden Democrats the clear lead in implied probability while treating a Moderate finish second as the main alternative scenario.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Volume
$270,332End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages ahead of Sweden’s September 13 parliamentary election place the Social Democrats first with roughly 28 percent support, followed by the Sweden Democrats near 19 percent and the Moderates around 17 percent, establishing a stable ordering that has held through the final weeks of the campaign. This positioning reflects the Sweden Democrats’ consistent second-place standing in voter intention surveys across multiple institutes, supported by sustained backing on issues such as immigration and crime. The Moderates trail as the third party in the same data, with limited movement that has kept them behind the Sweden Democrats. Other parties remain well below these levels and show no signs of closing the gap in the closing days. Trader pricing on the 2nd-place market aligns with this polling pattern, assigning the Sweden Democrats the clear lead in implied probability while treating a Moderate finish second as the main alternative scenario.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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