Recent polls ahead of Israel's October 27 election show Shas consistently projected at seven Knesset seats in multiple surveys, with occasional readings of eight to ten amid ongoing bloc volatility and roughly 11% undecided voters. Competition from United Torah Judaism, Otzma Yehudit, and newer right-wing entrants such as Ofer Winter's People of Israel has created overlap in religious and Sephardi voter bases, while statements from Shas leader Arye Deri on military draft preferences have drawn cross-party criticism without clear polling shifts. These factors, combined with broader realignments involving Gadi Eisenkot's Yashar and Benjamin Netanyahu's Likud, sustain tight trader pricing across the 6-9% range as final candidate lists close and turnout dynamics remain uncertain.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated9%+ 43%
<6% 39%
7-8% 38%
6-7% 36%
NEW
NEW
Nov 30, 2026
<6%
39%
6-7%
36%
7-8%
38%
8-9%
35%
9%+
43%
9%+ 43%
<6% 39%
7-8% 38%
6-7% 36%
NEW
NEW
Nov 30, 2026
<6%
$0 Vol.
39%
6-7%
$0 Vol.
36%
7-8%
$0 Vol.
38%
8-9%
$0 Vol.
35%
9%+
$0 Vol.
43%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Shas party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Shas's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Shas passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Shas contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Shas merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent polls ahead of Israel's October 27 election show Shas consistently projected at seven Knesset seats in multiple surveys, with occasional readings of eight to ten amid ongoing bloc volatility and roughly 11% undecided voters. Competition from United Torah Judaism, Otzma Yehudit, and newer right-wing entrants such as Ofer Winter's People of Israel has created overlap in religious and Sephardi voter bases, while statements from Shas leader Arye Deri on military draft preferences have drawn cross-party criticism without clear polling shifts. These factors, combined with broader realignments involving Gadi Eisenkot's Yashar and Benjamin Netanyahu's Likud, sustain tight trader pricing across the 6-9% range as final candidate lists close and turnout dynamics remain uncertain.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Shas party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Shas's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Shas passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Shas contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Shas merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Shas party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Shas's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Shas passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Shas contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Shas merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Market Opened: Sep 8, 2026, 4:17 PM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Oct 27, 2026Market Opened
Sep 8, 2026, 4:17 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Shas party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Shas's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Shas passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Shas contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Shas merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent polls ahead of Israel's October 27 election show Shas consistently projected at seven Knesset seats in multiple surveys, with occasional readings of eight to ten amid ongoing bloc volatility and roughly 11% undecided voters. Competition from United Torah Judaism, Otzma Yehudit, and newer right-wing entrants such as Ofer Winter's People of Israel has created overlap in religious and Sephardi voter bases, while statements from Shas leader Arye Deri on military draft preferences have drawn cross-party criticism without clear polling shifts. These factors, combined with broader realignments involving Gadi Eisenkot's Yashar and Benjamin Netanyahu's Likud, sustain tight trader pricing across the 6-9% range as final candidate lists close and turnout dynamics remain uncertain.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Shas party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Shas's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Shas passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Shas contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Shas merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Shas party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Shas's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Shas passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Shas contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Shas merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Volume
$0End Date
Oct 27, 2026Market Opened
Sep 8, 2026, 4:17 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls ahead of Israel's October 27 election show Shas consistently projected at seven Knesset seats in multiple surveys, with occasional readings of eight to ten amid ongoing bloc volatility and roughly 11% undecided voters. Competition from United Torah Judaism, Otzma Yehudit, and newer right-wing entrants such as Ofer Winter's People of Israel has created overlap in religious and Sephardi voter bases, while statements from Shas leader Arye Deri on military draft preferences have drawn cross-party criticism without clear polling shifts. These factors, combined with broader realignments involving Gadi Eisenkot's Yashar and Benjamin Netanyahu's Likud, sustain tight trader pricing across the 6-9% range as final candidate lists close and turnout dynamics remain uncertain.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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