Recent primaries on June 2 confirmed a rematch in Iowa’s 1st Congressional District, with Democrat Christina Bohannan securing her party’s nomination by a wide margin and Republican incumbent Mariannette Miller-Meeks advancing comfortably. The seat carries a toss-up rating from major forecasters due to its narrow partisan lean and history of close general-election outcomes. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing places the Democratic nominee ahead, consistent with the district’s competitive profile and the candidates’ established records from prior cycles. The November 3 general election remains the resolution point, with no intervening scheduled votes or procedural changes identified that would alter the matchup.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/04
民主党
72%
共和党
35%
新規
新規
2026/11/04
民主党
$817 Vol.
72%
共和党
$771 Vol.
35%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Recent primaries on June 2 confirmed a rematch in Iowa’s 1st Congressional District, with Democrat Christina Bohannan securing her party’s nomination by a wide margin and Republican incumbent Mariannette Miller-Meeks advancing comfortably. The seat carries a toss-up rating from major forecasters due to its narrow partisan lean and history of close general-election outcomes. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing places the Democratic nominee ahead, consistent with the district’s competitive profile and the candidates’ established records from prior cycles. The November 3 general election remains the resolution point, with no intervening scheduled votes or procedural changes identified that would alter the matchup.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 11:57 AM ET
音量
$1,588終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 11:57 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Recent primaries on June 2 confirmed a rematch in Iowa’s 1st Congressional District, with Democrat Christina Bohannan securing her party’s nomination by a wide margin and Republican incumbent Mariannette Miller-Meeks advancing comfortably. The seat carries a toss-up rating from major forecasters due to its narrow partisan lean and history of close general-election outcomes. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing places the Democratic nominee ahead, consistent with the district’s competitive profile and the candidates’ established records from prior cycles. The November 3 general election remains the resolution point, with no intervening scheduled votes or procedural changes identified that would alter the matchup.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$1,588終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 11:57 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent primaries on June 2 confirmed a rematch in Iowa’s 1st Congressional District, with Democrat Christina Bohannan securing her party’s nomination by a wide margin and Republican incumbent Mariannette Miller-Meeks advancing comfortably. The seat carries a toss-up rating from major forecasters due to its narrow partisan lean and history of close general-election outcomes. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing places the Democratic nominee ahead, consistent with the district’s competitive profile and the candidates’ established records from prior cycles. The November 3 general election remains the resolution point, with no intervening scheduled votes or procedural changes identified that would alter the matchup.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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