Iowa's 3rd congressional district remains one of the most competitive House races in the 2026 cycle, anchored in the Des Moines metro area with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+2. Incumbent Republican Zach Nunn, who won reelection by four points in 2024, faces Democratic state Sen. Sarah Trone Garriott after both cleared their June 2 primaries. Earlier polling showed Garriott ahead by double digits in head-to-head matchups, reflecting suburban realignment trends and her record of flipping Republican-leaning state senate seats. Race ratings from Cook and Sabato classify the contest as a toss-up while Inside Elections rates it Lean Republican, underscoring the narrow margins that continue to shape trader assessments of the outcome.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.04
Democratic Party
67%
Republican Party
39%
신규
신규
2026.11.04
Democratic Party
$1,049 거래량
67%
Republican Party
$1,020 거래량
39%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Iowa's 3rd congressional district remains one of the most competitive House races in the 2026 cycle, anchored in the Des Moines metro area with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+2. Incumbent Republican Zach Nunn, who won reelection by four points in 2024, faces Democratic state Sen. Sarah Trone Garriott after both cleared their June 2 primaries. Earlier polling showed Garriott ahead by double digits in head-to-head matchups, reflecting suburban realignment trends and her record of flipping Republican-leaning state senate seats. Race ratings from Cook and Sabato classify the contest as a toss-up while Inside Elections rates it Lean Republican, underscoring the narrow margins that continue to shape trader assessments of the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ET
거래량
$2,069종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Iowa's 3rd congressional district remains one of the most competitive House races in the 2026 cycle, anchored in the Des Moines metro area with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+2. Incumbent Republican Zach Nunn, who won reelection by four points in 2024, faces Democratic state Sen. Sarah Trone Garriott after both cleared their June 2 primaries. Earlier polling showed Garriott ahead by double digits in head-to-head matchups, reflecting suburban realignment trends and her record of flipping Republican-leaning state senate seats. Race ratings from Cook and Sabato classify the contest as a toss-up while Inside Elections rates it Lean Republican, underscoring the narrow margins that continue to shape trader assessments of the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$2,069종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Iowa's 3rd congressional district remains one of the most competitive House races in the 2026 cycle, anchored in the Des Moines metro area with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+2. Incumbent Republican Zach Nunn, who won reelection by four points in 2024, faces Democratic state Sen. Sarah Trone Garriott after both cleared their June 2 primaries. Earlier polling showed Garriott ahead by double digits in head-to-head matchups, reflecting suburban realignment trends and her record of flipping Republican-leaning state senate seats. Race ratings from Cook and Sabato classify the contest as a toss-up while Inside Elections rates it Lean Republican, underscoring the narrow margins that continue to shape trader assessments of the outcome.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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