Recent polling averages place The Democrats, the left-leaning slate headed by Yair Golan and formed from Labor-Meretz remnants, at 8-10 Knesset seats ahead of the October 27 election. Latest surveys from mid-to-late September show results clustered in that band, with some variation driven by sampling differences and modest shifts among centrist and opposition voters. The party’s surplus-vote agreement with Yashar provides a modest technical buffer but does not alter its core support base. Trader pricing reflects this narrow range and the broader tightness of the Zionist opposition bloc, which itself sits just short of a majority in most aggregates. Further movement could follow additional published polls, final list approvals, or late campaign events that alter turnout among secular and center-left voters.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated10-11 28%
<8 25%
8-9 21%
12-13 10.5%
NEW
NEW
Oct 27, 2026
<8
25%
8-9
21%
10-11
28%
12-13
10%
14+
5%
10-11 28%
<8 25%
8-9 21%
12-13 10.5%
NEW
NEW
Oct 27, 2026
<8
$1,232 Vol.
25%
8-9
$294 Vol.
21%
10-11
$309 Vol.
28%
12-13
$327 Vol.
10%
14+
$238 Vol.
5%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Democrats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Democrats contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Democrats merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Democrats in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling averages place The Democrats, the left-leaning slate headed by Yair Golan and formed from Labor-Meretz remnants, at 8-10 Knesset seats ahead of the October 27 election. Latest surveys from mid-to-late September show results clustered in that band, with some variation driven by sampling differences and modest shifts among centrist and opposition voters. The party’s surplus-vote agreement with Yashar provides a modest technical buffer but does not alter its core support base. Trader pricing reflects this narrow range and the broader tightness of the Zionist opposition bloc, which itself sits just short of a majority in most aggregates. Further movement could follow additional published polls, final list approvals, or late campaign events that alter turnout among secular and center-left voters.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Democrats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Democrats contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Democrats merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Democrats in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Democrats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Democrats contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Democrats merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Democrats in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 6:13 PM ET
Volume
$2,401End Date
Oct 27, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 6:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47de9d...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Democrats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Democrats contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Democrats merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Democrats in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling averages place The Democrats, the left-leaning slate headed by Yair Golan and formed from Labor-Meretz remnants, at 8-10 Knesset seats ahead of the October 27 election. Latest surveys from mid-to-late September show results clustered in that band, with some variation driven by sampling differences and modest shifts among centrist and opposition voters. The party’s surplus-vote agreement with Yashar provides a modest technical buffer but does not alter its core support base. Trader pricing reflects this narrow range and the broader tightness of the Zionist opposition bloc, which itself sits just short of a majority in most aggregates. Further movement could follow additional published polls, final list approvals, or late campaign events that alter turnout among secular and center-left voters.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Democrats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Democrats contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Democrats merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Democrats in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Democrats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Democrats contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Democrats merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Democrats in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Volume
$2,401End Date
Oct 27, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 6:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47de9d...Recent polling averages place The Democrats, the left-leaning slate headed by Yair Golan and formed from Labor-Meretz remnants, at 8-10 Knesset seats ahead of the October 27 election. Latest surveys from mid-to-late September show results clustered in that band, with some variation driven by sampling differences and modest shifts among centrist and opposition voters. The party’s surplus-vote agreement with Yashar provides a modest technical buffer but does not alter its core support base. Trader pricing reflects this narrow range and the broader tightness of the Zionist opposition bloc, which itself sits just short of a majority in most aggregates. Further movement could follow additional published polls, final list approvals, or late campaign events that alter turnout among secular and center-left voters.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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