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Russia predictions & odds

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Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

66%

United Russia (ER)

$6M Vol.

$78.0K today

$458K Liq.

151

Ends in 5 months

Where will Trump and Putin meet next?

Where will Trump and Putin meet next?

89%

No meeting by June 30

$5M Vol.

$268K Liq.

22

Ends in 2 months

Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?

Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?

3%

$1M Vol.

$132K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

12%

$4M Vol.

$208K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

NATO x Russia military clash by...?

NATO x Russia military clash by...?

21%

December 31

$2M Vol.

$149K Liq.

34

Ends in 8 months

Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay

Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay

17%

$423K Vol.

$29.9K Liq.

18

Ends in 8 months

Bank of Russia decision in June?

Bank of Russia decision in June?

80%

Decrease

$18.3K Vol.

$15.4K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Will Putin visit China by May 31?

Will Putin visit China by May 31?

87%

$66.5K Vol.

$35.1K Liq.

8

Ends in about 1 month

Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?

Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?

50%

$2.3K Vol.

$24.2K Liq.

Ends in 20 days

U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?

U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?

19%

$26.1K Vol.

$22.6K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Russia Parliamentary Election Winner

Russia Parliamentary Election Winner

94%

United Russia (ER)

$1M Vol.

$348K Liq.

7

Ends in 5 months

Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by...?

Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by...?

24%

December 31

$779K Vol.

$20.9K Liq.

13

Ends in 8 months

Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by...?

Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by...?

6%

June 30

$1M Vol.

$22.5K Liq.

167

Ends in 2 months

US x Cuba economic deal by...?

US x Cuba economic deal by...?

31%

June 30

$177K Vol.

$23.2K Liq.

15

Ends in 2 months

Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by...?

Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by...?

7%

May 31

$875K Vol.

$28.8K Liq.

11

Ends in 5 days

Ukraine military action against Moscow by...?

Ukraine military action against Moscow by...?

4%

April 30

$166K Vol.

$20.8K Liq.

Will Russia invade another country in 2026?

Will Russia invade another country in 2026?

11%

$102K Vol.

$27.4K Liq.

10

Ends in 8 months

Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?

Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?

7%

$12.9K Vol.

$20.8K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?

13%

$559K Vol.

$65.3K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?

Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?

8%

$9.2K Vol.

$16.8K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Russia.

Polymarket currently hosts 20 active markets for Russia that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $24.2M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 66% chance to United Russia (ER). These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Russia predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.