**Russia's September 18–20, 2026, State Duma elections feature a Kremlin turnout target of around 50 percent, which aligns with the market's tightest probabilities clustering between 50–56 percent.** Regional authorities have received instructions to achieve this level through mobilization of public-sector workers, students, and Ukraine war veterans, alongside expanded remote electronic voting in select areas. Recent polls show mixed signals, with VTsIOM reporting 66 percent intent to participate while Levada data indicates limited public awareness of the date. An economic slowdown and prolonged conflict introduce competing pressures of administrative push versus potential voter fatigue. These dynamics, including the gap between stated targets and actual mobilization effectiveness, sustain the close contest between the leading outcome bins without clear separation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedRussia Parliamentary Election: Turnout
Russia Parliamentary Election: Turnout
50-53% 30%
53-56% 23.4%
62%+ 12.2%
59-62% 9.3%
$35,239 Vol.
$35,239 Vol.
Sep 20, 2026
<47%
8%
47-50%
7%
50-53%
30%
53-56%
23%
56-59%
9%
59-62%
9%
62%+
12%
50-53% 30%
53-56% 23.4%
62%+ 12.2%
59-62% 9.3%
$35,239 Vol.
$35,239 Vol.
Sep 20, 2026
<47%
$1,576 Vol.
8%
47-50%
$4,940 Vol.
7%
50-53%
$3,589 Vol.
30%
53-56%
$2,405 Vol.
23%
56-59%
$4,452 Vol.
9%
59-62%
$3,911 Vol.
9%
62%+
$14,366 Vol.
12%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.**Russia's September 18–20, 2026, State Duma elections feature a Kremlin turnout target of around 50 percent, which aligns with the market's tightest probabilities clustering between 50–56 percent.** Regional authorities have received instructions to achieve this level through mobilization of public-sector workers, students, and Ukraine war veterans, alongside expanded remote electronic voting in select areas. Recent polls show mixed signals, with VTsIOM reporting 66 percent intent to participate while Levada data indicates limited public awareness of the date. An economic slowdown and prolonged conflict introduce competing pressures of administrative push versus potential voter fatigue. These dynamics, including the gap between stated targets and actual mobilization effectiveness, sustain the close contest between the leading outcome bins without clear separation.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
Market Opened: Apr 21, 2026, 3:46 PM ET
Volume
$35,239End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Apr 21, 2026, 3:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.**Russia's September 18–20, 2026, State Duma elections feature a Kremlin turnout target of around 50 percent, which aligns with the market's tightest probabilities clustering between 50–56 percent.** Regional authorities have received instructions to achieve this level through mobilization of public-sector workers, students, and Ukraine war veterans, alongside expanded remote electronic voting in select areas. Recent polls show mixed signals, with VTsIOM reporting 66 percent intent to participate while Levada data indicates limited public awareness of the date. An economic slowdown and prolonged conflict introduce competing pressures of administrative push versus potential voter fatigue. These dynamics, including the gap between stated targets and actual mobilization effectiveness, sustain the close contest between the leading outcome bins without clear separation.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
Volume
$35,239End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Apr 21, 2026, 3:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Russia's September 18–20, 2026, State Duma elections feature a Kremlin turnout target of around 50 percent, which aligns with the market's tightest probabilities clustering between 50–56 percent.** Regional authorities have received instructions to achieve this level through mobilization of public-sector workers, students, and Ukraine war veterans, alongside expanded remote electronic voting in select areas. Recent polls show mixed signals, with VTsIOM reporting 66 percent intent to participate while Levada data indicates limited public awareness of the date. An economic slowdown and prolonged conflict introduce competing pressures of administrative push versus potential voter fatigue. These dynamics, including the gap between stated targets and actual mobilization effectiveness, sustain the close contest between the leading outcome bins without clear separation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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