Russia's State Duma elections, running September 18–20, 2026, feature three-day voting and expanded electronic options in over 30 regions, mechanisms that historically support higher participation than single-day formats. Early returns reached 29.75% after day one and 32.58% by midday on day two, while the Kremlin has adjusted internal turnout targets downward to around 50% amid war fatigue, economic pressures, and reduced public-sector mobilization effectiveness. Traders assign the highest probabilities to the 56–62% bands because these tools and administrative levers have delivered results above the 2021 official benchmark of 51.7% in prior cycles, yet sustained voter disengagement in wartime conditions prevents stronger separation toward the 62%+ outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedRussia Parliamentary Election: Turnout
Russia Parliamentary Election: Turnout
56-59% 32.5%
62%+ 30.6%
59-62% 25.4%
53-56% 10.1%
$170,105 Vol.
$170,105 Vol.
Sep 19, 2026
<47%
1%
47-50%
1%
50-53%
4%
53-56%
10%
56-59%
32%
59-62%
25%
62%+
31%
56-59% 32.5%
62%+ 30.6%
59-62% 25.4%
53-56% 10.1%
$170,105 Vol.
$170,105 Vol.
Sep 19, 2026
<47%
$22,528 Vol.
1%
47-50%
$15,917 Vol.
1%
50-53%
$17,316 Vol.
4%
53-56%
$15,776 Vol.
10%
56-59%
$31,122 Vol.
32%
59-62%
$12,695 Vol.
25%
62%+
$54,751 Vol.
31%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.Russia's State Duma elections, running September 18–20, 2026, feature three-day voting and expanded electronic options in over 30 regions, mechanisms that historically support higher participation than single-day formats. Early returns reached 29.75% after day one and 32.58% by midday on day two, while the Kremlin has adjusted internal turnout targets downward to around 50% amid war fatigue, economic pressures, and reduced public-sector mobilization effectiveness. Traders assign the highest probabilities to the 56–62% bands because these tools and administrative levers have delivered results above the 2021 official benchmark of 51.7% in prior cycles, yet sustained voter disengagement in wartime conditions prevents stronger separation toward the 62%+ outcome.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
Market Opened: Apr 21, 2026, 3:46 PM ET
Volume
$170,105End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Apr 21, 2026, 3:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.Russia's State Duma elections, running September 18–20, 2026, feature three-day voting and expanded electronic options in over 30 regions, mechanisms that historically support higher participation than single-day formats. Early returns reached 29.75% after day one and 32.58% by midday on day two, while the Kremlin has adjusted internal turnout targets downward to around 50% amid war fatigue, economic pressures, and reduced public-sector mobilization effectiveness. Traders assign the highest probabilities to the 56–62% bands because these tools and administrative levers have delivered results above the 2021 official benchmark of 51.7% in prior cycles, yet sustained voter disengagement in wartime conditions prevents stronger separation toward the 62%+ outcome.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
Volume
$170,105End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Apr 21, 2026, 3:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Russia's State Duma elections, running September 18–20, 2026, feature three-day voting and expanded electronic options in over 30 regions, mechanisms that historically support higher participation than single-day formats. Early returns reached 29.75% after day one and 32.58% by midday on day two, while the Kremlin has adjusted internal turnout targets downward to around 50% amid war fatigue, economic pressures, and reduced public-sector mobilization effectiveness. Traders assign the highest probabilities to the 56–62% bands because these tools and administrative levers have delivered results above the 2021 official benchmark of 51.7% in prior cycles, yet sustained voter disengagement in wartime conditions prevents stronger separation toward the 62%+ outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions