The open seat created by Republican Ashley Hinson’s decision to run for Senate has positioned Iowa’s 2nd District as one of the more competitive 2026 House races in a state where Republicans hold all four seats. Recent June 2 primaries narrowed the field to Republican Joe Mitchell, a former state representative and Trump-endorsed candidate, against Democrat Lindsay James, a state representative and Presbyterian minister. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the northeast Iowa district, which includes Cedar Rapids and Dubuque, as Likely Republican, yet the absence of an incumbent and the district’s mixed voting patterns sustain trader expectations of a narrow margin. No head-to-head polling has surfaced since the primaries, leaving assessments reliant on historical margins and the broader midterm environment. General election voting on November 3 will resolve the outcome.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtIA-02 House Election Winner
IA-02 House Election Winner
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
51%
Democratic Party
43%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$1,131 KL.
51%
Democratic Party
$2,056 KL.
43%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat created by Republican Ashley Hinson’s decision to run for Senate has positioned Iowa’s 2nd District as one of the more competitive 2026 House races in a state where Republicans hold all four seats. Recent June 2 primaries narrowed the field to Republican Joe Mitchell, a former state representative and Trump-endorsed candidate, against Democrat Lindsay James, a state representative and Presbyterian minister. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the northeast Iowa district, which includes Cedar Rapids and Dubuque, as Likely Republican, yet the absence of an incumbent and the district’s mixed voting patterns sustain trader expectations of a narrow margin. No head-to-head polling has surfaced since the primaries, leaving assessments reliant on historical margins and the broader midterm environment. General election voting on November 3 will resolve the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Khối lượng
$3,187Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat created by Republican Ashley Hinson’s decision to run for Senate has positioned Iowa’s 2nd District as one of the more competitive 2026 House races in a state where Republicans hold all four seats. Recent June 2 primaries narrowed the field to Republican Joe Mitchell, a former state representative and Trump-endorsed candidate, against Democrat Lindsay James, a state representative and Presbyterian minister. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the northeast Iowa district, which includes Cedar Rapids and Dubuque, as Likely Republican, yet the absence of an incumbent and the district’s mixed voting patterns sustain trader expectations of a narrow margin. No head-to-head polling has surfaced since the primaries, leaving assessments reliant on historical margins and the broader midterm environment. General election voting on November 3 will resolve the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$3,187Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open seat created by Republican Ashley Hinson’s decision to run for Senate has positioned Iowa’s 2nd District as one of the more competitive 2026 House races in a state where Republicans hold all four seats. Recent June 2 primaries narrowed the field to Republican Joe Mitchell, a former state representative and Trump-endorsed candidate, against Democrat Lindsay James, a state representative and Presbyterian minister. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the northeast Iowa district, which includes Cedar Rapids and Dubuque, as Likely Republican, yet the absence of an incumbent and the district’s mixed voting patterns sustain trader expectations of a narrow margin. No head-to-head polling has surfaced since the primaries, leaving assessments reliant on historical margins and the broader midterm environment. General election voting on November 3 will resolve the outcome.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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