Recent polling for Israel's October 27, 2026, Knesset election places Yisrael Beiteinu, led by Avigdor Lieberman, in the 7–9 seat range, aligning with the 6–7% vote share favored by traders. The party's secular right positioning, focus on security policy, and Russian-speaking voter base have sustained this level amid competition from larger opposition lists such as Yashar and Together. Recent coordination between Lieberman and Gadi Eisenkot, surplus-vote agreements, and the party's support for disqualifying certain Arab lists reflect efforts to consolidate its bloc. Broader polling averages show limited movement in the party's support over the past month, with no major scandals or breakthroughs shifting its standing relative to the electoral threshold or larger right-leaning contenders.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated6-7% 51%
5-6% 24%
<5% 24%
7-8% 14%
NEW
NEW
Oct 27, 2026
<5%
24%
5-6%
24%
6-7%
51%
7-8%
14%
8%+
11%
6-7% 51%
5-6% 24%
<5% 24%
7-8% 14%
NEW
NEW
Oct 27, 2026
<5%
$1,079 Vol.
24%
5-6%
$159 Vol.
24%
6-7%
$243 Vol.
51%
7-8%
$178 Vol.
14%
8%+
$67 Vol.
11%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yisrael Beiteinu party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yisrael Beiteinu's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yisrael Beiteinu passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yisrael Beiteinu contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent polling for Israel's October 27, 2026, Knesset election places Yisrael Beiteinu, led by Avigdor Lieberman, in the 7–9 seat range, aligning with the 6–7% vote share favored by traders. The party's secular right positioning, focus on security policy, and Russian-speaking voter base have sustained this level amid competition from larger opposition lists such as Yashar and Together. Recent coordination between Lieberman and Gadi Eisenkot, surplus-vote agreements, and the party's support for disqualifying certain Arab lists reflect efforts to consolidate its bloc. Broader polling averages show limited movement in the party's support over the past month, with no major scandals or breakthroughs shifting its standing relative to the electoral threshold or larger right-leaning contenders.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yisrael Beiteinu party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yisrael Beiteinu's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yisrael Beiteinu passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yisrael Beiteinu contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yisrael Beiteinu party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yisrael Beiteinu's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yisrael Beiteinu passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yisrael Beiteinu contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Market Opened: Sep 8, 2026, 2:33 PM ET
Volume
$1,726End Date
Oct 27, 2026Market Opened
Sep 8, 2026, 2:33 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Resolver
0x69c47de9d...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yisrael Beiteinu party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yisrael Beiteinu's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yisrael Beiteinu passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yisrael Beiteinu contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent polling for Israel's October 27, 2026, Knesset election places Yisrael Beiteinu, led by Avigdor Lieberman, in the 7–9 seat range, aligning with the 6–7% vote share favored by traders. The party's secular right positioning, focus on security policy, and Russian-speaking voter base have sustained this level amid competition from larger opposition lists such as Yashar and Together. Recent coordination between Lieberman and Gadi Eisenkot, surplus-vote agreements, and the party's support for disqualifying certain Arab lists reflect efforts to consolidate its bloc. Broader polling averages show limited movement in the party's support over the past month, with no major scandals or breakthroughs shifting its standing relative to the electoral threshold or larger right-leaning contenders.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yisrael Beiteinu party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yisrael Beiteinu's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yisrael Beiteinu passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yisrael Beiteinu contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yisrael Beiteinu party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yisrael Beiteinu's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yisrael Beiteinu passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yisrael Beiteinu contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Volume
$1,726End Date
Oct 27, 2026Market Opened
Sep 8, 2026, 2:33 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Resolver
0x69c47de9d...Recent polling for Israel's October 27, 2026, Knesset election places Yisrael Beiteinu, led by Avigdor Lieberman, in the 7–9 seat range, aligning with the 6–7% vote share favored by traders. The party's secular right positioning, focus on security policy, and Russian-speaking voter base have sustained this level amid competition from larger opposition lists such as Yashar and Together. Recent coordination between Lieberman and Gadi Eisenkot, surplus-vote agreements, and the party's support for disqualifying certain Arab lists reflect efforts to consolidate its bloc. Broader polling averages show limited movement in the party's support over the past month, with no major scandals or breakthroughs shifting its standing relative to the electoral threshold or larger right-leaning contenders.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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