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icon for Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round Winner
Politics·Bulgaria

Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round Winner

icon for Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round Winner
Politics·Bulgaria

Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round Winner

Iliana Iotova 73%

Kostadin Kostadinov 9%

Rosen Zhelyazkov 9%

Vassil Terziev 7%

Polymarket
NEW

Iliana Iotova 73%

Kostadin Kostadinov 9%

Rosen Zhelyazkov 9%

Vassil Terziev 7%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Iliana Iotova

Iliana Iotova

$86 Vol.

73%

icon for Kostadin Kostadinov

Kostadin Kostadinov

$0 Vol.

9%

icon for Rosen Zhelyazkov

Rosen Zhelyazkov

$0 Vol.

9%

icon for Vassil Terziev

Vassil Terziev

$0 Vol.

7%

icon for Atanas Atanasov

Atanas Atanasov

$0 Vol.

7%

icon for Andrey Gyurov

Andrey Gyurov

$0 Vol.

5%

icon for Delyan Peevski

Delyan Peevski

$0 Vol.

5%

icon for Blagomir Kotsev

Blagomir Kotsev

$0 Vol.

5%

icon for Natalia Kiselova

Natalia Kiselova

$0 Vol.

5%

icon for Yanaki Stoilov

Yanaki Stoilov

$0 Vol.

5%

icon for Rosen Plevneliev

Rosen Plevneliev

$0 Vol.

5%

icon for Nikolai Denkov

Nikolai Denkov

$0 Vol.

4%

icon for Krum Zarkov

Krum Zarkov

$0 Vol.

4%

icon for Boyko Borissov

Boyko Borissov

$0 Vol.

4%

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Bulgaria on October 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).Iliana Iotova holds the strongest position for first-round victory in the October 25 election due to her incumbency as president since January 2026 and unified backing from the Bulgarian Socialist Party, Progressive Bulgaria, and allied groups. Recent registration of her independent ticket with over 9,000 signatures and assignment of ballot number 25 on September 23 have reinforced visibility ahead of the campaign launch on September 25. Andrey Gyurov, the former caretaker prime minister running with PP-DB support and ballot number 4, ranks as the primary challenger but trails significantly in early surveys. The two-round system requires a majority or runoff between top candidates, with trader consensus reflecting Iotova’s structural advantages from party infrastructure and name recognition while noting risks from turnout thresholds or late shifts among the 27 registered pairs.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Bulgaria on October 25, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Bulgaria on October 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).
Volume
$86
End Date
Oct 25, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 23, 2026, 4:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47de9d...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Bulgaria on October 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).Iliana Iotova holds the strongest position for first-round victory in the October 25 election due to her incumbency as president since January 2026 and unified backing from the Bulgarian Socialist Party, Progressive Bulgaria, and allied groups. Recent registration of her independent ticket with over 9,000 signatures and assignment of ballot number 25 on September 23 have reinforced visibility ahead of the campaign launch on September 25. Andrey Gyurov, the former caretaker prime minister running with PP-DB support and ballot number 4, ranks as the primary challenger but trails significantly in early surveys. The two-round system requires a majority or runoff between top candidates, with trader consensus reflecting Iotova’s structural advantages from party infrastructure and name recognition while noting risks from turnout thresholds or late shifts among the 27 registered pairs.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Bulgaria on October 25, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Bulgaria on October 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).
Volume
$86
End Date
Oct 25, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 23, 2026, 4:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47de9d...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 14 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Iliana Iotova" at 83%, followed by "Kostadin Kostadinov" at 11%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 83¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 83% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 23, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round Winner," browse the 14 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round Winner" is "Iliana Iotova" at 83%, meaning the market assigns a 83% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Kostadin Kostadinov" at 11%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.