Tennessee's 4th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat ahead of the November 2026 general election, with the incumbent Scott DesJarlais seeking another term under the state's recently redrawn map. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid Republican, reflecting a partisan voting index that favored the GOP by double digits in the prior cycle and a 2024 presidential margin exceeding 20 points. Multiple Republican candidates, including the sitting representative, are competing in the August primary, while Democratic contenders face an uphill path in a district with limited recent competitiveness. Trader consensus on the Republican nominee prevailing aligns with historical patterns for safe seats and the absence of major scandals or polling shifts that could alter the trajectory. A significant national Democratic wave or an unusually contentious Republican primary resulting in a weakened nominee represent the primary scenarios that could narrow the margin, though structural advantages continue to favor the GOP outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$10,685 交易量
$10,685 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
91%
民主党
9%
$10,685 交易量
$10,685 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$4,268 交易量
91%
民主党
$6,418 交易量
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 4th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat ahead of the November 2026 general election, with the incumbent Scott DesJarlais seeking another term under the state's recently redrawn map. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid Republican, reflecting a partisan voting index that favored the GOP by double digits in the prior cycle and a 2024 presidential margin exceeding 20 points. Multiple Republican candidates, including the sitting representative, are competing in the August primary, while Democratic contenders face an uphill path in a district with limited recent competitiveness. Trader consensus on the Republican nominee prevailing aligns with historical patterns for safe seats and the absence of major scandals or polling shifts that could alter the trajectory. A significant national Democratic wave or an unusually contentious Republican primary resulting in a weakened nominee represent the primary scenarios that could narrow the margin, though structural advantages continue to favor the GOP outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$10,685结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 4th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat ahead of the November 2026 general election, with the incumbent Scott DesJarlais seeking another term under the state's recently redrawn map. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid Republican, reflecting a partisan voting index that favored the GOP by double digits in the prior cycle and a 2024 presidential margin exceeding 20 points. Multiple Republican candidates, including the sitting representative, are competing in the August primary, while Democratic contenders face an uphill path in a district with limited recent competitiveness. Trader consensus on the Republican nominee prevailing aligns with historical patterns for safe seats and the absence of major scandals or polling shifts that could alter the trajectory. A significant national Democratic wave or an unusually contentious Republican primary resulting in a weakened nominee represent the primary scenarios that could narrow the margin, though structural advantages continue to favor the GOP outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$10,685结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tennessee's 4th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat ahead of the November 2026 general election, with the incumbent Scott DesJarlais seeking another term under the state's recently redrawn map. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid Republican, reflecting a partisan voting index that favored the GOP by double digits in the prior cycle and a 2024 presidential margin exceeding 20 points. Multiple Republican candidates, including the sitting representative, are competing in the August primary, while Democratic contenders face an uphill path in a district with limited recent competitiveness. Trader consensus on the Republican nominee prevailing aligns with historical patterns for safe seats and the absence of major scandals or polling shifts that could alter the trajectory. A significant national Democratic wave or an unusually contentious Republican primary resulting in a weakened nominee represent the primary scenarios that could narrow the margin, though structural advantages continue to favor the GOP outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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