The U.S. Supreme Court’s recent ruling reinstating Alabama’s 2023 Republican-drawn congressional map has shifted the 2nd district from a Democratic-leaning seat under prior court-ordered lines to a Republican-leaning one ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. This mid-decade redistricting consolidates more conservative Wiregrass and rural areas into the district held by Democratic incumbent Shomari Figures, driving trader consensus reflected in current probabilities. Republican nominee Hampton Harris advanced unopposed in the rescheduled August 11 primary under the new boundaries, while limited polling and historical voting patterns in the revised district continue to favor the GOP. Pending litigation or turnout variations remain the main variables that could still alter the outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$31,654 交易量
$31,654 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
75%
民主党
26%
$31,654 交易量
$31,654 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$17,667 交易量
75%
民主党
$13,987 交易量
26%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The U.S. Supreme Court’s recent ruling reinstating Alabama’s 2023 Republican-drawn congressional map has shifted the 2nd district from a Democratic-leaning seat under prior court-ordered lines to a Republican-leaning one ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. This mid-decade redistricting consolidates more conservative Wiregrass and rural areas into the district held by Democratic incumbent Shomari Figures, driving trader consensus reflected in current probabilities. Republican nominee Hampton Harris advanced unopposed in the rescheduled August 11 primary under the new boundaries, while limited polling and historical voting patterns in the revised district continue to favor the GOP. Pending litigation or turnout variations remain the main variables that could still alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
交易量
$31,654结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The U.S. Supreme Court’s recent ruling reinstating Alabama’s 2023 Republican-drawn congressional map has shifted the 2nd district from a Democratic-leaning seat under prior court-ordered lines to a Republican-leaning one ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. This mid-decade redistricting consolidates more conservative Wiregrass and rural areas into the district held by Democratic incumbent Shomari Figures, driving trader consensus reflected in current probabilities. Republican nominee Hampton Harris advanced unopposed in the rescheduled August 11 primary under the new boundaries, while limited polling and historical voting patterns in the revised district continue to favor the GOP. Pending litigation or turnout variations remain the main variables that could still alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$31,654结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The U.S. Supreme Court’s recent ruling reinstating Alabama’s 2023 Republican-drawn congressional map has shifted the 2nd district from a Democratic-leaning seat under prior court-ordered lines to a Republican-leaning one ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. This mid-decade redistricting consolidates more conservative Wiregrass and rural areas into the district held by Democratic incumbent Shomari Figures, driving trader consensus reflected in current probabilities. Republican nominee Hampton Harris advanced unopposed in the rescheduled August 11 primary under the new boundaries, while limited polling and historical voting patterns in the revised district continue to favor the GOP. Pending litigation or turnout variations remain the main variables that could still alter the outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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