The U.S. Supreme Court’s recent reinstatement of Alabama’s 2023 Republican-drawn congressional map has shifted Alabama’s 2nd district from a Democratic-leaning seat to one favoring Republicans ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election. The revised lines consolidate more conservative Wiregrass areas while reducing the Black Voting Age Population, altering the district’s partisan balance and prompting rescheduled primaries for August 11. Incumbent Democrat Shomari Figures now faces a significantly altered electorate, with historical voting patterns and district partisanship supporting a Republican nominee. Trader consensus reflected in current probabilities incorporates these structural changes, though further litigation or shifts in turnout could still affect the outcome.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtAL-02 House Election Winner
AL-02 House Election Winner
$31,441 KL.
$31,441 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
76%
Democratic Party
24%
$31,441 KL.
$31,441 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$17,547 KL.
76%
Democratic Party
$13,894 KL.
24%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The U.S. Supreme Court’s recent reinstatement of Alabama’s 2023 Republican-drawn congressional map has shifted Alabama’s 2nd district from a Democratic-leaning seat to one favoring Republicans ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election. The revised lines consolidate more conservative Wiregrass areas while reducing the Black Voting Age Population, altering the district’s partisan balance and prompting rescheduled primaries for August 11. Incumbent Democrat Shomari Figures now faces a significantly altered electorate, with historical voting patterns and district partisanship supporting a Republican nominee. Trader consensus reflected in current probabilities incorporates these structural changes, though further litigation or shifts in turnout could still affect the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Khối lượng
$31,441Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The U.S. Supreme Court’s recent reinstatement of Alabama’s 2023 Republican-drawn congressional map has shifted Alabama’s 2nd district from a Democratic-leaning seat to one favoring Republicans ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election. The revised lines consolidate more conservative Wiregrass areas while reducing the Black Voting Age Population, altering the district’s partisan balance and prompting rescheduled primaries for August 11. Incumbent Democrat Shomari Figures now faces a significantly altered electorate, with historical voting patterns and district partisanship supporting a Republican nominee. Trader consensus reflected in current probabilities incorporates these structural changes, though further litigation or shifts in turnout could still affect the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$31,441Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The U.S. Supreme Court’s recent reinstatement of Alabama’s 2023 Republican-drawn congressional map has shifted Alabama’s 2nd district from a Democratic-leaning seat to one favoring Republicans ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election. The revised lines consolidate more conservative Wiregrass areas while reducing the Black Voting Age Population, altering the district’s partisan balance and prompting rescheduled primaries for August 11. Incumbent Democrat Shomari Figures now faces a significantly altered electorate, with historical voting patterns and district partisanship supporting a Republican nominee. Trader consensus reflected in current probabilities incorporates these structural changes, though further litigation or shifts in turnout could still affect the outcome.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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