The U.S. Supreme Court’s recent ruling reinstating Alabama’s 2023 Republican-drawn congressional map has shifted Alabama’s 2nd district from a Democratic-leaning seat won by incumbent Shomari Figures in 2024 to a Republican-leaning district for the November 2026 general election. This mid-decade redistricting consolidates more conservative areas into the district, which now stretches across the Wiregrass region and Montgomery County under lines that historically favor Republican candidates. Primaries have been rescheduled for August 11, with Figures advancing unopposed on the Democratic side and multiple Republicans competing. Limited polling exists, but the altered district composition and voting patterns underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Upcoming litigation or turnout variations could still affect the outcome.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtAL-02 House Election Winner
AL-02 House Election Winner
$31,415 KL.
$31,415 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
74%
Democratic Party
26%
$31,415 KL.
$31,415 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$17,547 KL.
74%
Democratic Party
$13,868 KL.
26%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The U.S. Supreme Court’s recent ruling reinstating Alabama’s 2023 Republican-drawn congressional map has shifted Alabama’s 2nd district from a Democratic-leaning seat won by incumbent Shomari Figures in 2024 to a Republican-leaning district for the November 2026 general election. This mid-decade redistricting consolidates more conservative areas into the district, which now stretches across the Wiregrass region and Montgomery County under lines that historically favor Republican candidates. Primaries have been rescheduled for August 11, with Figures advancing unopposed on the Democratic side and multiple Republicans competing. Limited polling exists, but the altered district composition and voting patterns underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Upcoming litigation or turnout variations could still affect the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Khối lượng
$31,415Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The U.S. Supreme Court’s recent ruling reinstating Alabama’s 2023 Republican-drawn congressional map has shifted Alabama’s 2nd district from a Democratic-leaning seat won by incumbent Shomari Figures in 2024 to a Republican-leaning district for the November 2026 general election. This mid-decade redistricting consolidates more conservative areas into the district, which now stretches across the Wiregrass region and Montgomery County under lines that historically favor Republican candidates. Primaries have been rescheduled for August 11, with Figures advancing unopposed on the Democratic side and multiple Republicans competing. Limited polling exists, but the altered district composition and voting patterns underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Upcoming litigation or turnout variations could still affect the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$31,415Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The U.S. Supreme Court’s recent ruling reinstating Alabama’s 2023 Republican-drawn congressional map has shifted Alabama’s 2nd district from a Democratic-leaning seat won by incumbent Shomari Figures in 2024 to a Republican-leaning district for the November 2026 general election. This mid-decade redistricting consolidates more conservative areas into the district, which now stretches across the Wiregrass region and Montgomery County under lines that historically favor Republican candidates. Primaries have been rescheduled for August 11, with Figures advancing unopposed on the Democratic side and multiple Republicans competing. Limited polling exists, but the altered district composition and voting patterns underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Upcoming litigation or turnout variations could still affect the outcome.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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