Incumbent Republican John Joyce faces Democrat Beth Farnham in Pennsylvania’s 13th congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district’s consistent Republican tilt, reflected in prior election margins exceeding 20 points, underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Both candidates advanced unopposed in May primaries, leaving no early signs of internal party challenges. Forecasters rate the seat as solidly or likely Republican, consistent with its partisan composition and Joyce’s established incumbency. While national political shifts, candidate-specific developments, or turnout surges could narrow the gap, structural factors in this district have historically limited Democratic competitiveness.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
94%
民主党
6%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
$8,858 交易量
94%
民主党
$565 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican John Joyce faces Democrat Beth Farnham in Pennsylvania’s 13th congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district’s consistent Republican tilt, reflected in prior election margins exceeding 20 points, underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Both candidates advanced unopposed in May primaries, leaving no early signs of internal party challenges. Forecasters rate the seat as solidly or likely Republican, consistent with its partisan composition and Joyce’s established incumbency. While national political shifts, candidate-specific developments, or turnout surges could narrow the gap, structural factors in this district have historically limited Democratic competitiveness.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$9,423结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican John Joyce faces Democrat Beth Farnham in Pennsylvania’s 13th congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district’s consistent Republican tilt, reflected in prior election margins exceeding 20 points, underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Both candidates advanced unopposed in May primaries, leaving no early signs of internal party challenges. Forecasters rate the seat as solidly or likely Republican, consistent with its partisan composition and Joyce’s established incumbency. While national political shifts, candidate-specific developments, or turnout surges could narrow the gap, structural factors in this district have historically limited Democratic competitiveness.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$9,423结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican John Joyce faces Democrat Beth Farnham in Pennsylvania’s 13th congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district’s consistent Republican tilt, reflected in prior election margins exceeding 20 points, underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Both candidates advanced unopposed in May primaries, leaving no early signs of internal party challenges. Forecasters rate the seat as solidly or likely Republican, consistent with its partisan composition and Joyce’s established incumbency. While national political shifts, candidate-specific developments, or turnout surges could narrow the gap, structural factors in this district have historically limited Democratic competitiveness.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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