Incumbent Republican Ronny Jackson secured the nomination after winning his party's March 2026 primary by a wide margin in the solidly Republican Texas Panhandle district. Nonpartisan analysts rate the general election matchup against Democratic nominee Mark Nair as Safe or Solid Republican, reflecting the district's consistent partisan lean, Jackson's established incumbency, and limited Democratic infrastructure or fundraising in the area. The November 3, 2026, contest follows standard midterm timing with no scheduled runoff or special procedures. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors. A realistic shift would require an unexpected national Democratic surge, late-breaking scandal, or major candidate withdrawal, though historical patterns in comparable districts show limited volatility this far from Election Day.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtTX-13 House Election Winner
$13,663 KL.
$13,663 KL.
Republican Party
93%
Democratic Party
8%
$13,663 KL.
$13,663 KL.
Republican Party
93%
Democratic Party
8%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Ronny Jackson secured the nomination after winning his party's March 2026 primary by a wide margin in the solidly Republican Texas Panhandle district. Nonpartisan analysts rate the general election matchup against Democratic nominee Mark Nair as Safe or Solid Republican, reflecting the district's consistent partisan lean, Jackson's established incumbency, and limited Democratic infrastructure or fundraising in the area. The November 3, 2026, contest follows standard midterm timing with no scheduled runoff or special procedures. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors. A realistic shift would require an unexpected national Democratic surge, late-breaking scandal, or major candidate withdrawal, though historical patterns in comparable districts show limited volatility this far from Election Day.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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