New York’s 13th congressional district stands among the nation’s most reliably Democratic seats, reflected in its D+32 partisan voter index and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent presidential and House races. Incumbent Representative Adriano Espaillat faces a June 23 primary challenge but holds a clear edge in a district centered on Upper Manhattan and surrounding low-income neighborhoods with overwhelming Democratic registration and turnout patterns. Nonpartisan analysts rate the general election Solid Democratic, with no credible Republican infrastructure or candidate positioned to compete. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the structural advantages of incumbency, fundraising, and district demographics. A shift would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal affecting the Democratic nominee or an extraordinary national political realignment capable of overcoming the district’s 30-plus-point baseline lean.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$29,882 거래량
$29,882 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
94%
공화당
6%
$29,882 거래량
$29,882 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$18,320 거래량
94%
공화당
$11,562 거래량
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New York’s 13th congressional district stands among the nation’s most reliably Democratic seats, reflected in its D+32 partisan voter index and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent presidential and House races. Incumbent Representative Adriano Espaillat faces a June 23 primary challenge but holds a clear edge in a district centered on Upper Manhattan and surrounding low-income neighborhoods with overwhelming Democratic registration and turnout patterns. Nonpartisan analysts rate the general election Solid Democratic, with no credible Republican infrastructure or candidate positioned to compete. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the structural advantages of incumbency, fundraising, and district demographics. A shift would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal affecting the Democratic nominee or an extraordinary national political realignment capable of overcoming the district’s 30-plus-point baseline lean.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
거래량
$29,882종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New York’s 13th congressional district stands among the nation’s most reliably Democratic seats, reflected in its D+32 partisan voter index and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent presidential and House races. Incumbent Representative Adriano Espaillat faces a June 23 primary challenge but holds a clear edge in a district centered on Upper Manhattan and surrounding low-income neighborhoods with overwhelming Democratic registration and turnout patterns. Nonpartisan analysts rate the general election Solid Democratic, with no credible Republican infrastructure or candidate positioned to compete. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the structural advantages of incumbency, fundraising, and district demographics. A shift would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal affecting the Democratic nominee or an extraordinary national political realignment capable of overcoming the district’s 30-plus-point baseline lean.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$29,882종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...New York’s 13th congressional district stands among the nation’s most reliably Democratic seats, reflected in its D+32 partisan voter index and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent presidential and House races. Incumbent Representative Adriano Espaillat faces a June 23 primary challenge but holds a clear edge in a district centered on Upper Manhattan and surrounding low-income neighborhoods with overwhelming Democratic registration and turnout patterns. Nonpartisan analysts rate the general election Solid Democratic, with no credible Republican infrastructure or candidate positioned to compete. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the structural advantages of incumbency, fundraising, and district demographics. A shift would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal affecting the Democratic nominee or an extraordinary national political realignment capable of overcoming the district’s 30-plus-point baseline lean.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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