New York’s 13th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+32 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent presidential and House races. Incumbent Adriano Espaillat faces several Democratic primary challengers ahead of the June 23 contest, yet the fractured field and his established fundraising and local network reinforce the seat’s safety. No credible Republican candidate has emerged to contest the November 3 general election, aligning with the current trader consensus. Potential shifts could arise from an unexpected primary upset, late scandal involving the nominee, or unusually high turnout favoring an opponent, though structural factors limit those probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$29,882 交易量
$29,882 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
94%
共和党
6%
$29,882 交易量
$29,882 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$18,321 交易量
94%
共和党
$11,562 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New York’s 13th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+32 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent presidential and House races. Incumbent Adriano Espaillat faces several Democratic primary challengers ahead of the June 23 contest, yet the fractured field and his established fundraising and local network reinforce the seat’s safety. No credible Republican candidate has emerged to contest the November 3 general election, aligning with the current trader consensus. Potential shifts could arise from an unexpected primary upset, late scandal involving the nominee, or unusually high turnout favoring an opponent, though structural factors limit those probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$29,882结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New York’s 13th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+32 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent presidential and House races. Incumbent Adriano Espaillat faces several Democratic primary challengers ahead of the June 23 contest, yet the fractured field and his established fundraising and local network reinforce the seat’s safety. No credible Republican candidate has emerged to contest the November 3 general election, aligning with the current trader consensus. Potential shifts could arise from an unexpected primary upset, late scandal involving the nominee, or unusually high turnout favoring an opponent, though structural factors limit those probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$29,882结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...New York’s 13th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+32 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent presidential and House races. Incumbent Adriano Espaillat faces several Democratic primary challengers ahead of the June 23 contest, yet the fractured field and his established fundraising and local network reinforce the seat’s safety. No credible Republican candidate has emerged to contest the November 3 general election, aligning with the current trader consensus. Potential shifts could arise from an unexpected primary upset, late scandal involving the nominee, or unusually high turnout favoring an opponent, though structural factors limit those probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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