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Elections·US Election

WA-03 Primary First Place

icon for WA-03 Primary First Place
Elections·US Election

WA-03 Primary First Place

John Braun 72%

Marie Gluesenkamp Perez 23%

Troy Rasband 3.3%

Brent Hennrich 2.6%

Polymarket

$10,539 Vol.

John Braun 72%

Marie Gluesenkamp Perez 23%

Troy Rasband 3.3%

Brent Hennrich 2.6%

Polymarket

$10,539 Vol.

John Braun

$7,165 Vol.

72%

Marie Gluesenkamp Perez

$1,313 Vol.

23%

Troy Rasband

$276 Vol.

3%

Brent Hennrich

$933 Vol.

3%

John Saulie-Rohman

$150 Vol.

2%

Lawrence Kellogg

$216 Vol.

2%

John P. Roco

$156 Vol.

1%

Antony Barran

$187 Vol.

1%

Austin Braswell

$142 Vol.

<1%

The non-partisan primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate earns the most votes in the WA-03 non-partisan primary election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If no 2026 WA-03 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the State of Washington.In Washington’s 3rd Congressional District nonpartisan top-two primary scheduled for August 4, 2026, trader consensus reflects a tightly contested field with multiple candidates clustered near even odds. Incumbent Marie Gluesenkamp Perez faces vote-splitting pressure from fellow Democrats Brent Hennrich and Austin Braswell, while Republican contenders including state Senate Minority Leader John Braun, Lawrence Kellogg, and John P. Roco compete for the leading GOP spot alongside independents and minor-party entrants. Recent candidate filings closed in May, campaign finance reports highlight Perez’s fundraising edge, and limited polling shows general-election head-to-heads remaining competitive without clarifying primary order. Late endorsements, turnout among swing voters, and any final-week advertising shifts could reorder first-place positioning before ballots close.

The non-partisan primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election.

This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate earns the most votes in the WA-03 non-partisan primary election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If no 2026 WA-03 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the State of Washington.
Volume
$10,539
End Date
Aug 4, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The non-partisan primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate earns the most votes in the WA-03 non-partisan primary election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If no 2026 WA-03 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the State of Washington.
The non-partisan primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate earns the most votes in the WA-03 non-partisan primary election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If no 2026 WA-03 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the State of Washington.In Washington’s 3rd Congressional District nonpartisan top-two primary scheduled for August 4, 2026, trader consensus reflects a tightly contested field with multiple candidates clustered near even odds. Incumbent Marie Gluesenkamp Perez faces vote-splitting pressure from fellow Democrats Brent Hennrich and Austin Braswell, while Republican contenders including state Senate Minority Leader John Braun, Lawrence Kellogg, and John P. Roco compete for the leading GOP spot alongside independents and minor-party entrants. Recent candidate filings closed in May, campaign finance reports highlight Perez’s fundraising edge, and limited polling shows general-election head-to-heads remaining competitive without clarifying primary order. Late endorsements, turnout among swing voters, and any final-week advertising shifts could reorder first-place positioning before ballots close.

The non-partisan primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election.

This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate earns the most votes in the WA-03 non-partisan primary election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If no 2026 WA-03 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the State of Washington.
Volume
$10,539
End Date
Aug 4, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The non-partisan primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate earns the most votes in the WA-03 non-partisan primary election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If no 2026 WA-03 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the State of Washington.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"WA-03 Primary First Place" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "John Braun" at 72%, followed by "Marie Gluesenkamp Perez" at 23%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 72¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 72% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "WA-03 Primary First Place" has generated $10.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 6, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "WA-03 Primary First Place," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "WA-03 Primary First Place" is "John Braun" at 72%, meaning the market assigns a 72% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Marie Gluesenkamp Perez" at 23%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "WA-03 Primary First Place" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.