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Politics·Primaries

WA-03 Primary Winners

icon for WA-03 Primary Winners
Politics·Primaries

WA-03 Primary Winners

$33,070 Vol.

Aug 4, 2026
Polymarket

$33,070 Vol.

Polymarket

Marie Gluesenkamp Perez

$4,390 Vol.

93%

John Braun

$3,634 Vol.

87%

Antony Barran

$62 Vol.

30%

Brent Hennrich

$17,598 Vol.

21%

Eric Vaughan

$2,868 Vol.

15%

Lawrence Kellogg

$4,118 Vol.

14%

Suzzanna V. Tanner

$399 Vol.

30%

The non-partisan primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 WA-03 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.Incumbent Rep. Marie Gluesenkamp Perez (D) dominates fundraising with over $4.5 million raised and $3.4 million cash on hand through March 2026, far outpacing state Senate Minority Leader John Braun (R), her top challenger with $1.2 million raised, positioning her as the likely top vote-getter in Washington's top-two primary on August 4. President Trump's April 14 endorsement of Braun, followed by his selection for the MAGA Majority program on April 29, has solidified him as the Republican frontrunner amid a fragmented field including Democrats Brent Hennrich and Troy Rasband, plus minor candidates. The R+2 district's toss-up rating underscores competitiveness, with candidate filing closing May 8 potentially clarifying the matchup for the two general election spots.

The non-partisan primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election.

This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

If no 2026 WA-03 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.
Volume
$33,070
End Date
Aug 4, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 18, 2025, 3:30 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The non-partisan primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 WA-03 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.
The non-partisan primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 WA-03 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.Incumbent Rep. Marie Gluesenkamp Perez (D) dominates fundraising with over $4.5 million raised and $3.4 million cash on hand through March 2026, far outpacing state Senate Minority Leader John Braun (R), her top challenger with $1.2 million raised, positioning her as the likely top vote-getter in Washington's top-two primary on August 4. President Trump's April 14 endorsement of Braun, followed by his selection for the MAGA Majority program on April 29, has solidified him as the Republican frontrunner amid a fragmented field including Democrats Brent Hennrich and Troy Rasband, plus minor candidates. The R+2 district's toss-up rating underscores competitiveness, with candidate filing closing May 8 potentially clarifying the matchup for the two general election spots.

The non-partisan primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election.

This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

If no 2026 WA-03 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.
Volume
$33,070
End Date
Aug 4, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 18, 2025, 3:30 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The non-partisan primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 WA-03 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"WA-03 Primary Winners" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Marie Gluesenkamp Perez" at 93%, followed by "John Braun" at 87%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 93¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 93% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "WA-03 Primary Winners" has generated $33.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 18, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "WA-03 Primary Winners," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "WA-03 Primary Winners" is "Marie Gluesenkamp Perez" at 93%, meaning the market assigns a 93% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "John Braun" at 87%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "WA-03 Primary Winners" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.