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Politica·Primarie

Maine Governor Democratic Primary Winner

Market icon
Politica·Primarie

Maine Governor Democratic Primary Winner

Nirav Shah 40%

Troy Jackson 25%

Hannah Pingree 21%

Angus King III 5.9%

Polymarket

$50,220 Vol.

Nirav Shah 40%

Troy Jackson 25%

Hannah Pingree 21%

Angus King III 5.9%

Polymarket

$50,220 Vol.

Nirav Shah

$7,411 Vol.

40%

Troy Jackson

$6,706 Vol.

25%

Hannah Pingree

$4,640 Vol.

21%

Angus King III

$4,122 Vol.

6%

Shenna Bellows

$4,768 Vol.

3%

Jason Cherry

$19,204 Vol.

<1%

Kenneth Pinet

$3,370 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Maine, scheduled to take place on June 9, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Maine Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maine Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Nirav Shah leads trader consensus at 39.5% implied probability in the Maine Democratic gubernatorial primary, driven by recent UNH Pine Tree State Poll first-choice support at 25%—ahead of Shenna Bellows (19%) and Troy Jackson (16%)—bolstered by his high name recognition as former Maine CDC director during the COVID-19 response, a fresh endorsement from Lewiston Mayor Carl Sheline, and ad spending via "redboxing" independent expenditures. Jackson, at 25%, benefits from Senate Majority Leader status and rural labor backing shown in March Impact Research polling, while Hannah Pingree (21%) gains from her legislative experience and April 14 cost-of-living policy rollout. The fragmented field persists ahead of the June 9 ranked-choice primary, with a recent University of Maine health care forum underscoring top contenders' shared push for universal coverage.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Maine, scheduled to take place on June 9, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Maine Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maine Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$50,220
Data di fine
9 giu 2026
Mercato aperto
Dec 10, 2025, 7:06 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Maine, scheduled to take place on June 9, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Maine Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maine Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Maine, scheduled to take place on June 9, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Maine Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maine Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Nirav Shah leads trader consensus at 39.5% implied probability in the Maine Democratic gubernatorial primary, driven by recent UNH Pine Tree State Poll first-choice support at 25%—ahead of Shenna Bellows (19%) and Troy Jackson (16%)—bolstered by his high name recognition as former Maine CDC director during the COVID-19 response, a fresh endorsement from Lewiston Mayor Carl Sheline, and ad spending via "redboxing" independent expenditures. Jackson, at 25%, benefits from Senate Majority Leader status and rural labor backing shown in March Impact Research polling, while Hannah Pingree (21%) gains from her legislative experience and April 14 cost-of-living policy rollout. The fragmented field persists ahead of the June 9 ranked-choice primary, with a recent University of Maine health care forum underscoring top contenders' shared push for universal coverage.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Maine, scheduled to take place on June 9, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Maine Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maine Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$50,220
Data di fine
9 giu 2026
Mercato aperto
Dec 10, 2025, 7:06 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Maine, scheduled to take place on June 9, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Maine Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maine Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Domande frequenti

"Maine Governor Democratic Primary Winner" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 7 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Nirav Shah" a 40%, seguito da "Troy Jackson" a 25%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 40¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 40% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Maine Governor Democratic Primary Winner" ha generato $50.2K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Dec 11, 2025. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Maine Governor Democratic Primary Winner", esplora i 7 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Maine Governor Democratic Primary Winner" è "Nirav Shah" a 40%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 40% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Troy Jackson" a 25%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Maine Governor Democratic Primary Winner" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.