Incumbent Republican Nick Begich maintains an early polling lead in Alaska’s at-large congressional race ahead of the August 18 primary and November 3 general election. The state supported the Republican presidential nominee by double digits in 2024, when Begich reclaimed the seat from Democrat Mary Peltola via ranked-choice tabulation. Multiple Democratic candidates are splitting opposition support in recent surveys, while Republican contenders consolidate behind the incumbent. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest likely Republican, reflecting the state’s partisan baseline and limited recent shifts in voter preference that align with current trader consensus on the outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
79%
民主党
20%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
$3,608 交易量
79%
民主党
$5,218 交易量
20%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AK-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nick Begich maintains an early polling lead in Alaska’s at-large congressional race ahead of the August 18 primary and November 3 general election. The state supported the Republican presidential nominee by double digits in 2024, when Begich reclaimed the seat from Democrat Mary Peltola via ranked-choice tabulation. Multiple Democratic candidates are splitting opposition support in recent surveys, while Republican contenders consolidate behind the incumbent. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest likely Republican, reflecting the state’s partisan baseline and limited recent shifts in voter preference that align with current trader consensus on the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AK-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 27, 2026, 5:46 PM ET
交易量
$8,827结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 5:46 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AK-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nick Begich maintains an early polling lead in Alaska’s at-large congressional race ahead of the August 18 primary and November 3 general election. The state supported the Republican presidential nominee by double digits in 2024, when Begich reclaimed the seat from Democrat Mary Peltola via ranked-choice tabulation. Multiple Democratic candidates are splitting opposition support in recent surveys, while Republican contenders consolidate behind the incumbent. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest likely Republican, reflecting the state’s partisan baseline and limited recent shifts in voter preference that align with current trader consensus on the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AK-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$8,827结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 5:46 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Nick Begich maintains an early polling lead in Alaska’s at-large congressional race ahead of the August 18 primary and November 3 general election. The state supported the Republican presidential nominee by double digits in 2024, when Begich reclaimed the seat from Democrat Mary Peltola via ranked-choice tabulation. Multiple Democratic candidates are splitting opposition support in recent surveys, while Republican contenders consolidate behind the incumbent. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest likely Republican, reflecting the state’s partisan baseline and limited recent shifts in voter preference that align with current trader consensus on the outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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