Incumbent Republican Nick Begich III holds a clear edge in Alaska’s at-large U.S. House contest, consistent with the 76.5% Republican consensus on Polymarket. Forecasters rate the race Likely Republican, reflecting the state’s R+6 partisan voting index and Begich’s 2024 victory under ranked-choice voting. Recent Alaska Survey Research polls from April and May 2026 show him leading at 46-47% against Democrat Matt Schultz at 28-29%, with the remainder split among independents and minor candidates. Begich’s substantial fundraising lead further supports his position ahead of the August 18 nonpartisan primary. The November 3 general election outcome will hinge on primary advancement and any late shifts in turnout among the state’s independent voters.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
77%
民主党
21%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
$3,225 Vol.
77%
民主党
$5,194 Vol.
21%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AK-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nick Begich III holds a clear edge in Alaska’s at-large U.S. House contest, consistent with the 76.5% Republican consensus on Polymarket. Forecasters rate the race Likely Republican, reflecting the state’s R+6 partisan voting index and Begich’s 2024 victory under ranked-choice voting. Recent Alaska Survey Research polls from April and May 2026 show him leading at 46-47% against Democrat Matt Schultz at 28-29%, with the remainder split among independents and minor candidates. Begich’s substantial fundraising lead further supports his position ahead of the August 18 nonpartisan primary. The November 3 general election outcome will hinge on primary advancement and any late shifts in turnout among the state’s independent voters.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AK-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 27, 2026, 5:46 PM ET
音量
$8,419終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 5:46 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AK-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nick Begich III holds a clear edge in Alaska’s at-large U.S. House contest, consistent with the 76.5% Republican consensus on Polymarket. Forecasters rate the race Likely Republican, reflecting the state’s R+6 partisan voting index and Begich’s 2024 victory under ranked-choice voting. Recent Alaska Survey Research polls from April and May 2026 show him leading at 46-47% against Democrat Matt Schultz at 28-29%, with the remainder split among independents and minor candidates. Begich’s substantial fundraising lead further supports his position ahead of the August 18 nonpartisan primary. The November 3 general election outcome will hinge on primary advancement and any late shifts in turnout among the state’s independent voters.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AK-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$8,419終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 5:46 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Nick Begich III holds a clear edge in Alaska’s at-large U.S. House contest, consistent with the 76.5% Republican consensus on Polymarket. Forecasters rate the race Likely Republican, reflecting the state’s R+6 partisan voting index and Begich’s 2024 victory under ranked-choice voting. Recent Alaska Survey Research polls from April and May 2026 show him leading at 46-47% against Democrat Matt Schultz at 28-29%, with the remainder split among independents and minor candidates. Begich’s substantial fundraising lead further supports his position ahead of the August 18 nonpartisan primary. The November 3 general election outcome will hinge on primary advancement and any late shifts in turnout among the state’s independent voters.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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