Incumbent Democrat Hank Johnson secured the Democratic nomination for Georgia’s 4th Congressional District in the May 19 primary with 79 percent of the vote, facing only token opposition. The district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in a D+27 Partisan Voter Index, has produced consistent double-digit victories for Johnson since he took office in 2007, including a 51-point margin in 2024. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Republican nominee James Duffie advanced unopposed in his primary but faces structural barriers in a constituency centered on Atlanta’s eastern suburbs. Trader consensus at 95.5 percent for the Democratic Party aligns with the district’s voting history and limited campaign activity. A late scandal, health event affecting Johnson, or sharp national shift could theoretically alter the outcome, though no such developments have emerged.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedGA-04 House Election Winner
GA-04 House Election Winner
$48,081 Vol.
$48,081 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
96%
Republican Party
2%
$48,081 Vol.
$48,081 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$29,990 Vol.
96%
Republican Party
$18,091 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Hank Johnson secured the Democratic nomination for Georgia’s 4th Congressional District in the May 19 primary with 79 percent of the vote, facing only token opposition. The district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in a D+27 Partisan Voter Index, has produced consistent double-digit victories for Johnson since he took office in 2007, including a 51-point margin in 2024. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Republican nominee James Duffie advanced unopposed in his primary but faces structural barriers in a constituency centered on Atlanta’s eastern suburbs. Trader consensus at 95.5 percent for the Democratic Party aligns with the district’s voting history and limited campaign activity. A late scandal, health event affecting Johnson, or sharp national shift could theoretically alter the outcome, though no such developments have emerged.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Volume
$48,081End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Hank Johnson secured the Democratic nomination for Georgia’s 4th Congressional District in the May 19 primary with 79 percent of the vote, facing only token opposition. The district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in a D+27 Partisan Voter Index, has produced consistent double-digit victories for Johnson since he took office in 2007, including a 51-point margin in 2024. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Republican nominee James Duffie advanced unopposed in his primary but faces structural barriers in a constituency centered on Atlanta’s eastern suburbs. Trader consensus at 95.5 percent for the Democratic Party aligns with the district’s voting history and limited campaign activity. A late scandal, health event affecting Johnson, or sharp national shift could theoretically alter the outcome, though no such developments have emerged.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$48,081End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Hank Johnson secured the Democratic nomination for Georgia’s 4th Congressional District in the May 19 primary with 79 percent of the vote, facing only token opposition. The district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in a D+27 Partisan Voter Index, has produced consistent double-digit victories for Johnson since he took office in 2007, including a 51-point margin in 2024. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Republican nominee James Duffie advanced unopposed in his primary but faces structural barriers in a constituency centered on Atlanta’s eastern suburbs. Trader consensus at 95.5 percent for the Democratic Party aligns with the district’s voting history and limited campaign activity. A late scandal, health event affecting Johnson, or sharp national shift could theoretically alter the outcome, though no such developments have emerged.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions