New York’s 9th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+22 and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative Yvette Clarke, first elected in 2006 and re-elected with over 80 percent in 2024, faces limited primary opposition ahead of the June 23 contest but enters the November general election with structural advantages in a Brooklyn-based seat that has favored Democrats by wide margins for years. Republican nominee Joel Anabilah-Azumah confronts these entrenched voting patterns and fundraising gaps. Trader pricing at 93.5 percent for the Democratic nominee aligns with nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as Solid or Safe Democratic, though a major late-cycle development such as an unexpected primary upset or unforeseen national shift could narrow the gap before Election Day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNY-09 House Election Winner
NY-09 House Election Winner
$31,142 Vol.
$31,142 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
6%
$31,142 Vol.
$31,142 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$17,602 Vol.
94%
Republican Party
$13,540 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New York’s 9th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+22 and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative Yvette Clarke, first elected in 2006 and re-elected with over 80 percent in 2024, faces limited primary opposition ahead of the June 23 contest but enters the November general election with structural advantages in a Brooklyn-based seat that has favored Democrats by wide margins for years. Republican nominee Joel Anabilah-Azumah confronts these entrenched voting patterns and fundraising gaps. Trader pricing at 93.5 percent for the Democratic nominee aligns with nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as Solid or Safe Democratic, though a major late-cycle development such as an unexpected primary upset or unforeseen national shift could narrow the gap before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Volume
$31,142End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New York’s 9th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+22 and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative Yvette Clarke, first elected in 2006 and re-elected with over 80 percent in 2024, faces limited primary opposition ahead of the June 23 contest but enters the November general election with structural advantages in a Brooklyn-based seat that has favored Democrats by wide margins for years. Republican nominee Joel Anabilah-Azumah confronts these entrenched voting patterns and fundraising gaps. Trader pricing at 93.5 percent for the Democratic nominee aligns with nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as Solid or Safe Democratic, though a major late-cycle development such as an unexpected primary upset or unforeseen national shift could narrow the gap before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$31,142End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...New York’s 9th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+22 and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative Yvette Clarke, first elected in 2006 and re-elected with over 80 percent in 2024, faces limited primary opposition ahead of the June 23 contest but enters the November general election with structural advantages in a Brooklyn-based seat that has favored Democrats by wide margins for years. Republican nominee Joel Anabilah-Azumah confronts these entrenched voting patterns and fundraising gaps. Trader pricing at 93.5 percent for the Democratic nominee aligns with nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as Solid or Safe Democratic, though a major late-cycle development such as an unexpected primary upset or unforeseen national shift could narrow the gap before Election Day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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