Incumbent Nicole Malliotakis holds a commanding lead in the NY-11 House race because the Staten Island and South Brooklyn district has a consistent Republican lean, reinforced by its Solid Republican rating from the Cook Political Report and her unopposed primary status. Michael DeCillis secured the Democratic nomination in June 2026 after defeating Allison Ziogas in a low-turnout primary, yet his prior candidacies ended before the general election, limiting his established statewide profile or fundraising momentum relative to Malliotakis’s substantial campaign resources. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Malliotakis versus 6.5% for DeCillis reflects these structural factors ahead of the November 3 contest. A late scandal, health event, or sharp national partisan swing could still alter the outcome, though no such developments have surfaced in recent months.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNY-11 House Election Winner
NY-11 House Election Winner
$26,136 Vol.
$26,136 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Nicole Malliotakis (R)
94%
Michael DeCillis (D)
7%
$26,136 Vol.
$26,136 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Nicole Malliotakis (R)
$12,843 Vol.
94%
Michael DeCillis (D)
$13,293 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Nicole Malliotakis holds a commanding lead in the NY-11 House race because the Staten Island and South Brooklyn district has a consistent Republican lean, reinforced by its Solid Republican rating from the Cook Political Report and her unopposed primary status. Michael DeCillis secured the Democratic nomination in June 2026 after defeating Allison Ziogas in a low-turnout primary, yet his prior candidacies ended before the general election, limiting his established statewide profile or fundraising momentum relative to Malliotakis’s substantial campaign resources. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Malliotakis versus 6.5% for DeCillis reflects these structural factors ahead of the November 3 contest. A late scandal, health event, or sharp national partisan swing could still alter the outcome, though no such developments have surfaced in recent months.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Volume
$26,136End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Nicole Malliotakis holds a commanding lead in the NY-11 House race because the Staten Island and South Brooklyn district has a consistent Republican lean, reinforced by its Solid Republican rating from the Cook Political Report and her unopposed primary status. Michael DeCillis secured the Democratic nomination in June 2026 after defeating Allison Ziogas in a low-turnout primary, yet his prior candidacies ended before the general election, limiting his established statewide profile or fundraising momentum relative to Malliotakis’s substantial campaign resources. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Malliotakis versus 6.5% for DeCillis reflects these structural factors ahead of the November 3 contest. A late scandal, health event, or sharp national partisan swing could still alter the outcome, though no such developments have surfaced in recent months.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$26,136End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Nicole Malliotakis holds a commanding lead in the NY-11 House race because the Staten Island and South Brooklyn district has a consistent Republican lean, reinforced by its Solid Republican rating from the Cook Political Report and her unopposed primary status. Michael DeCillis secured the Democratic nomination in June 2026 after defeating Allison Ziogas in a low-turnout primary, yet his prior candidacies ended before the general election, limiting his established statewide profile or fundraising momentum relative to Malliotakis’s substantial campaign resources. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Malliotakis versus 6.5% for DeCillis reflects these structural factors ahead of the November 3 contest. A late scandal, health event, or sharp national partisan swing could still alter the outcome, though no such developments have surfaced in recent months.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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