Oklahoma's 4th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat, where incumbent Tom Cole has held the position since 2003 and won reelection in 2024 with 65 percent of the vote. The district's partisan voting index favors Republicans by double digits, with primary and general election ratings from nonpartisan analysts classifying the race as safe or solid for the GOP. Limited Democratic primary activity and fundraising disparities further reinforce the market's assessment of low competition heading into the June 2026 primaries and November general election. A Republican primary upset by a lesser-known challenger or an unforeseen scandal involving the incumbent represent the primary paths that could shift probabilities, though such developments have not materialized in recent months.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$21,580 Vol.
$21,580 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
95%
民主党
4%
$21,580 Vol.
$21,580 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$13,554 Vol.
95%
民主党
$8,026 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oklahoma's 4th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat, where incumbent Tom Cole has held the position since 2003 and won reelection in 2024 with 65 percent of the vote. The district's partisan voting index favors Republicans by double digits, with primary and general election ratings from nonpartisan analysts classifying the race as safe or solid for the GOP. Limited Democratic primary activity and fundraising disparities further reinforce the market's assessment of low competition heading into the June 2026 primaries and November general election. A Republican primary upset by a lesser-known challenger or an unforeseen scandal involving the incumbent represent the primary paths that could shift probabilities, though such developments have not materialized in recent months.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
音量
$21,580終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oklahoma's 4th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat, where incumbent Tom Cole has held the position since 2003 and won reelection in 2024 with 65 percent of the vote. The district's partisan voting index favors Republicans by double digits, with primary and general election ratings from nonpartisan analysts classifying the race as safe or solid for the GOP. Limited Democratic primary activity and fundraising disparities further reinforce the market's assessment of low competition heading into the June 2026 primaries and November general election. A Republican primary upset by a lesser-known challenger or an unforeseen scandal involving the incumbent represent the primary paths that could shift probabilities, though such developments have not materialized in recent months.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$21,580終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Oklahoma's 4th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat, where incumbent Tom Cole has held the position since 2003 and won reelection in 2024 with 65 percent of the vote. The district's partisan voting index favors Republicans by double digits, with primary and general election ratings from nonpartisan analysts classifying the race as safe or solid for the GOP. Limited Democratic primary activity and fundraising disparities further reinforce the market's assessment of low competition heading into the June 2026 primaries and November general election. A Republican primary upset by a lesser-known challenger or an unforeseen scandal involving the incumbent represent the primary paths that could shift probabilities, though such developments have not materialized in recent months.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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