The heavily Republican partisan composition of Oklahoma's 3rd congressional district, reflected in its R+23 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit margins in prior cycles, anchors the strong market consensus for a Republican victory in the 2026 House election. Incumbent Frank Lucas holds a clear edge entering the June 16 Republican primary against challenger Wade Burleson, while Democratic contenders Suzie Byrd and Jules Roberson advance through their own primary with limited visibility in this rural, conservative-leaning territory. Nonpartisan race ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the contest as solid or safe Republican. Late developments such as a primary surprise or significant national political realignment remain the primary factors that could introduce volatility before the November 3 general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoOK-03 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$84,290 Vol.
$84,290 Vol.
Partido Republicano
94%
Partido Demócrata
4%
$84,290 Vol.
$84,290 Vol.
Partido Republicano
94%
Partido Demócrata
4%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The heavily Republican partisan composition of Oklahoma's 3rd congressional district, reflected in its R+23 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit margins in prior cycles, anchors the strong market consensus for a Republican victory in the 2026 House election. Incumbent Frank Lucas holds a clear edge entering the June 16 Republican primary against challenger Wade Burleson, while Democratic contenders Suzie Byrd and Jules Roberson advance through their own primary with limited visibility in this rural, conservative-leaning territory. Nonpartisan race ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the contest as solid or safe Republican. Late developments such as a primary surprise or significant national political realignment remain the primary factors that could introduce volatility before the November 3 general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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