Incumbent Brian Babin holds a commanding lead in the Texas 36th congressional district race due to the seat’s strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+12 Partisan Voter Index and consistent “Solid Republican” or “Safe Republican” ratings from forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ. Babin secured renomination in the March 2026 primary with 81 percent of the vote and maintains a substantial fundraising edge, reporting over $900,000 in cash on hand as of mid-2026 compared to minimal resources for Democratic nominee Rhonda Hart, who won her primary with 64 percent. The district’s Southeast Texas composition, including conservative-leaning areas around Beaumont and parts of the Houston suburbs, reinforces structural advantages for the Republican incumbent ahead of the November general election. Significant shifts would require major unforeseen developments such as a national political realignment or candidate-specific disruptions within the remaining campaign window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedTX-36 House Election Winner
TX-36 House Election Winner
$30,458 Vol.
$30,458 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Brian Babin (R)
93%
Rhonda Hart (D)
6%
$30,458 Vol.
$30,458 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Brian Babin (R)
$8,422 Vol.
93%
Rhonda Hart (D)
$22,035 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Brian Babin holds a commanding lead in the Texas 36th congressional district race due to the seat’s strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+12 Partisan Voter Index and consistent “Solid Republican” or “Safe Republican” ratings from forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ. Babin secured renomination in the March 2026 primary with 81 percent of the vote and maintains a substantial fundraising edge, reporting over $900,000 in cash on hand as of mid-2026 compared to minimal resources for Democratic nominee Rhonda Hart, who won her primary with 64 percent. The district’s Southeast Texas composition, including conservative-leaning areas around Beaumont and parts of the Houston suburbs, reinforces structural advantages for the Republican incumbent ahead of the November general election. Significant shifts would require major unforeseen developments such as a national political realignment or candidate-specific disruptions within the remaining campaign window.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$30,458End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Brian Babin holds a commanding lead in the Texas 36th congressional district race due to the seat’s strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+12 Partisan Voter Index and consistent “Solid Republican” or “Safe Republican” ratings from forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ. Babin secured renomination in the March 2026 primary with 81 percent of the vote and maintains a substantial fundraising edge, reporting over $900,000 in cash on hand as of mid-2026 compared to minimal resources for Democratic nominee Rhonda Hart, who won her primary with 64 percent. The district’s Southeast Texas composition, including conservative-leaning areas around Beaumont and parts of the Houston suburbs, reinforces structural advantages for the Republican incumbent ahead of the November general election. Significant shifts would require major unforeseen developments such as a national political realignment or candidate-specific disruptions within the remaining campaign window.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$30,458End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Brian Babin holds a commanding lead in the Texas 36th congressional district race due to the seat’s strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+12 Partisan Voter Index and consistent “Solid Republican” or “Safe Republican” ratings from forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ. Babin secured renomination in the March 2026 primary with 81 percent of the vote and maintains a substantial fundraising edge, reporting over $900,000 in cash on hand as of mid-2026 compared to minimal resources for Democratic nominee Rhonda Hart, who won her primary with 64 percent. The district’s Southeast Texas composition, including conservative-leaning areas around Beaumont and parts of the Houston suburbs, reinforces structural advantages for the Republican incumbent ahead of the November general election. Significant shifts would require major unforeseen developments such as a national political realignment or candidate-specific disruptions within the remaining campaign window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions