**Redistricting has shifted Missouri's 5th Congressional District toward Republican advantage ahead of the November 2026 general election.** The Missouri Supreme Court upheld the Republican-drawn map in May 2026, expanding the Kansas City-based seat eastward into additional counties that favor GOP voters and producing a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+9. This structural change moved the seat from its prior Democratic-leaning profile to ratings ranging from Solid Republican to competitive, directly supporting the current 60.5% Republican versus 37.5% Democratic trader consensus. Incumbent Democrat Emanuel Cleaver faces a crowded Republican primary on August 4 featuring state Sen. Rick Brattin and other declared candidates, while Cleaver remains the likely Democratic nominee. The map's impact on turnout and partisan composition in the redrawn district explains the market positioning more than any single candidate-specific development. Primary outcomes and any late polling shifts before November could still influence final resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডMO-05 House Election Winner
MO-05 House Election Winner
নতুন
নতুন
Nov 4, 2026
Republican Party
62%
Democratic Party
43%
নতুন
নতুন
Nov 4, 2026
Republican Party
$1,756 Vol.
62%
Democratic Party
$1,201 Vol.
43%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Redistricting has shifted Missouri's 5th Congressional District toward Republican advantage ahead of the November 2026 general election.** The Missouri Supreme Court upheld the Republican-drawn map in May 2026, expanding the Kansas City-based seat eastward into additional counties that favor GOP voters and producing a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+9. This structural change moved the seat from its prior Democratic-leaning profile to ratings ranging from Solid Republican to competitive, directly supporting the current 60.5% Republican versus 37.5% Democratic trader consensus.
Incumbent Democrat Emanuel Cleaver faces a crowded Republican primary on August 4 featuring state Sen. Rick Brattin and other declared candidates, while Cleaver remains the likely Democratic nominee. The map's impact on turnout and partisan composition in the redrawn district explains the market positioning more than any single candidate-specific development. Primary outcomes and any late polling shifts before November could still influence final resolution.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ET
ভলিউম
$2,957শেষ তারিখ
Nov 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Redistricting has shifted Missouri's 5th Congressional District toward Republican advantage ahead of the November 2026 general election.** The Missouri Supreme Court upheld the Republican-drawn map in May 2026, expanding the Kansas City-based seat eastward into additional counties that favor GOP voters and producing a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+9. This structural change moved the seat from its prior Democratic-leaning profile to ratings ranging from Solid Republican to competitive, directly supporting the current 60.5% Republican versus 37.5% Democratic trader consensus.
Incumbent Democrat Emanuel Cleaver faces a crowded Republican primary on August 4 featuring state Sen. Rick Brattin and other declared candidates, while Cleaver remains the likely Democratic nominee. The map's impact on turnout and partisan composition in the redrawn district explains the market positioning more than any single candidate-specific development. Primary outcomes and any late polling shifts before November could still influence final resolution.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ভলিউম
$2,957শেষ তারিখ
Nov 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Redistricting has shifted Missouri's 5th Congressional District toward Republican advantage ahead of the November 2026 general election.** The Missouri Supreme Court upheld the Republican-drawn map in May 2026, expanding the Kansas City-based seat eastward into additional counties that favor GOP voters and producing a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+9. This structural change moved the seat from its prior Democratic-leaning profile to ratings ranging from Solid Republican to competitive, directly supporting the current 60.5% Republican versus 37.5% Democratic trader consensus. Incumbent Democrat Emanuel Cleaver faces a crowded Republican primary on August 4 featuring state Sen. Rick Brattin and other declared candidates, while Cleaver remains the likely Democratic nominee. The map's impact on turnout and partisan composition in the redrawn district explains the market positioning more than any single candidate-specific development. Primary outcomes and any late polling shifts before November could still influence final resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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