Incumbent Republican Ann Wagner seeks a seventh term in Missouri’s 2nd Congressional District, a suburban St. Louis seat with a Republican-leaning partisan voting index that major forecasters rate Solid Republican. Wagner’s prior general-election performance and early fundraising advantage have anchored trader expectations for a GOP hold. Democrats, including primary contenders such as Frederick Wellman, face an open primary on August 4, 2026, before the November general. The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee’s decision to place the district on its target list for the first time since 2020 has introduced modest counter-pressure, reflecting national trends favoring Democrats among suburban voters, yet historical margins and the district’s structural lean continue to support the current 76.5% Republican probability.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertMO-02 Wahlsieger
MO-02 Wahlsieger
NEU
NEU
3. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
77%
Demokratische Partei
22%
NEU
NEU
3. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
$3,148 Vol.
77%
Demokratische Partei
$2,238 Vol.
22%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Ann Wagner seeks a seventh term in Missouri’s 2nd Congressional District, a suburban St. Louis seat with a Republican-leaning partisan voting index that major forecasters rate Solid Republican. Wagner’s prior general-election performance and early fundraising advantage have anchored trader expectations for a GOP hold. Democrats, including primary contenders such as Frederick Wellman, face an open primary on August 4, 2026, before the November general. The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee’s decision to place the district on its target list for the first time since 2020 has introduced modest counter-pressure, reflecting national trends favoring Democrats among suburban voters, yet historical margins and the district’s structural lean continue to support the current 76.5% Republican probability.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volumen
$5,386Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Ann Wagner seeks a seventh term in Missouri’s 2nd Congressional District, a suburban St. Louis seat with a Republican-leaning partisan voting index that major forecasters rate Solid Republican. Wagner’s prior general-election performance and early fundraising advantage have anchored trader expectations for a GOP hold. Democrats, including primary contenders such as Frederick Wellman, face an open primary on August 4, 2026, before the November general. The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee’s decision to place the district on its target list for the first time since 2020 has introduced modest counter-pressure, reflecting national trends favoring Democrats among suburban voters, yet historical margins and the district’s structural lean continue to support the current 76.5% Republican probability.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$5,386Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Ann Wagner seeks a seventh term in Missouri’s 2nd Congressional District, a suburban St. Louis seat with a Republican-leaning partisan voting index that major forecasters rate Solid Republican. Wagner’s prior general-election performance and early fundraising advantage have anchored trader expectations for a GOP hold. Democrats, including primary contenders such as Frederick Wellman, face an open primary on August 4, 2026, before the November general. The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee’s decision to place the district on its target list for the first time since 2020 has introduced modest counter-pressure, reflecting national trends favoring Democrats among suburban voters, yet historical margins and the district’s structural lean continue to support the current 76.5% Republican probability.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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