Maryland’s Democratic-controlled legislature referred Question 3 to voters during an August 2026 special session, seeking to amend the state constitution so that compactness, contiguity, and related criteria apply only to state legislative districts and not congressional ones. After a lower-court ruling blocked the measure over procedural and single-subject concerns, the Maryland Supreme Court reversed that decision on September 3 and approved revised ballot language, placing the amendment on the November 3, 2026 ballot. With a simple-majority threshold required for passage and Democrats holding supermajorities in both chambers plus the governorship, traders assign the measure a 69.5 percent chance of approval, viewing the cleared legal path and partisan alignment as the dominant factors supporting passage.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated70% chance
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NEW
Nov 3, 2026
70% chance
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Nov 3, 2026
Maryland Question 3 is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would loosen the requirements for the drawing of federal congressional districts in the State of Maryland, among other measures.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of a Maryland statewide election held on or before November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Maryland, including the Maryland Board of Elections (https://elections.maryland.gov/). Maryland’s Democratic-controlled legislature referred Question 3 to voters during an August 2026 special session, seeking to amend the state constitution so that compactness, contiguity, and related criteria apply only to state legislative districts and not congressional ones. After a lower-court ruling blocked the measure over procedural and single-subject concerns, the Maryland Supreme Court reversed that decision on September 3 and approved revised ballot language, placing the amendment on the November 3, 2026 ballot. With a simple-majority threshold required for passage and Democrats holding supermajorities in both chambers plus the governorship, traders assign the measure a 69.5 percent chance of approval, viewing the cleared legal path and partisan alignment as the dominant factors supporting passage.
Maryland Question 3 is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would loosen the requirements for the drawing of federal congressional districts in the State of Maryland, among other measures.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of a Maryland statewide election held on or before November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Maryland, including the Maryland Board of Elections (https://elections.maryland.gov/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of a Maryland statewide election held on or before November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Maryland, including the Maryland Board of Elections (https://elections.maryland.gov/).
Market Opened: Sep 9, 2026, 10:35 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Sep 9, 2026, 10:35 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Maryland Question 3 is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would loosen the requirements for the drawing of federal congressional districts in the State of Maryland, among other measures.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of a Maryland statewide election held on or before November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Maryland, including the Maryland Board of Elections (https://elections.maryland.gov/). Maryland’s Democratic-controlled legislature referred Question 3 to voters during an August 2026 special session, seeking to amend the state constitution so that compactness, contiguity, and related criteria apply only to state legislative districts and not congressional ones. After a lower-court ruling blocked the measure over procedural and single-subject concerns, the Maryland Supreme Court reversed that decision on September 3 and approved revised ballot language, placing the amendment on the November 3, 2026 ballot. With a simple-majority threshold required for passage and Democrats holding supermajorities in both chambers plus the governorship, traders assign the measure a 69.5 percent chance of approval, viewing the cleared legal path and partisan alignment as the dominant factors supporting passage.
Maryland Question 3 is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would loosen the requirements for the drawing of federal congressional districts in the State of Maryland, among other measures.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of a Maryland statewide election held on or before November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Maryland, including the Maryland Board of Elections (https://elections.maryland.gov/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of a Maryland statewide election held on or before November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Maryland, including the Maryland Board of Elections (https://elections.maryland.gov/).
Volume
$0End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Sep 9, 2026, 10:35 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Maryland’s Democratic-controlled legislature referred Question 3 to voters during an August 2026 special session, seeking to amend the state constitution so that compactness, contiguity, and related criteria apply only to state legislative districts and not congressional ones. After a lower-court ruling blocked the measure over procedural and single-subject concerns, the Maryland Supreme Court reversed that decision on September 3 and approved revised ballot language, placing the amendment on the November 3, 2026 ballot. With a simple-majority threshold required for passage and Democrats holding supermajorities in both chambers plus the governorship, traders assign the measure a 69.5 percent chance of approval, viewing the cleared legal path and partisan alignment as the dominant factors supporting passage.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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