The open seat created by term-limited Republican incumbent Brian Kemp has fueled trader consensus favoring a Democratic outcome in the November 2026 general election. Keisha Lance Bottoms secured the Democratic nomination after the May 19 primary, while Republicans Burt Jones and Rick Jackson advanced to a June 16 runoff amid heavy spending and internal divisions. Recent polling averages show the general election closely contested, yet the state's recent Democratic gains in non-federal races and shifting voter trends in suburban areas have positioned the Democratic nominee with a modest edge in implied probabilities. The upcoming runoff and fall campaign dynamics remain key variables that could alter positioning.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$38,678 交易量
$38,678 交易量

民主党
59%

共和党
43%
$38,678 交易量
$38,678 交易量

民主党
59%

共和党
43%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open seat created by term-limited Republican incumbent Brian Kemp has fueled trader consensus favoring a Democratic outcome in the November 2026 general election. Keisha Lance Bottoms secured the Democratic nomination after the May 19 primary, while Republicans Burt Jones and Rick Jackson advanced to a June 16 runoff amid heavy spending and internal divisions. Recent polling averages show the general election closely contested, yet the state's recent Democratic gains in non-federal races and shifting voter trends in suburban areas have positioned the Democratic nominee with a modest edge in implied probabilities. The upcoming runoff and fall campaign dynamics remain key variables that could alter positioning.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题