Phil Weiser secured the Democratic nomination in the June 30, 2026 primary after defeating Senator Michael Bennet, positioning him as the clear frontrunner in Colorado's open gubernatorial race following term-limited incumbent Jared Polis. The state's consistent Democratic advantage in recent statewide contests, combined with Weiser's experience as attorney general, has shaped trader consensus reflected in the 93.8% implied probability. Victor Marx's narrower Republican primary victory over state Senator Barb Kirkmeyer and others leaves the GOP nominee with limited statewide name recognition ahead of November. Forecasters rate the contest as solidly Democratic. Late developments such as major scandals, health events, or sharp economic shifts could still alter the trajectory before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedColorado Governor Election Winner
$13,065 Vol.
$13,065 Vol.

Democrat
94%

Republican
4%
$13,065 Vol.
$13,065 Vol.

Democrat
94%

Republican
4%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Market Opened: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Phil Weiser secured the Democratic nomination in the June 30, 2026 primary after defeating Senator Michael Bennet, positioning him as the clear frontrunner in Colorado's open gubernatorial race following term-limited incumbent Jared Polis. The state's consistent Democratic advantage in recent statewide contests, combined with Weiser's experience as attorney general, has shaped trader consensus reflected in the 93.8% implied probability. Victor Marx's narrower Republican primary victory over state Senator Barb Kirkmeyer and others leaves the GOP nominee with limited statewide name recognition ahead of November. Forecasters rate the contest as solidly Democratic. Late developments such as major scandals, health events, or sharp economic shifts could still alter the trajectory before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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