**The GA-13 seat, a heavily Democratic Atlanta-area district, features a consolidated November 3, 2026 general election matchup between Democrat Jasmine Clark and Republican Jonathan Chavez following the July 28 special election to fill the vacancy left by the late Rep. David Scott.** In that special election, multiple Democratic candidates split the vote (Marcye Scott at ~46%, Everton Blair Jr. at ~37%), with Republicans receiving under 14% combined, preventing any outright majority and triggering an August 25 runoff between the two Democrats. This outcome, combined with the district’s consistent Democratic performance in prior cycles and the absence of vote-splitting dynamics in the two-candidate general, underpins the trader consensus reflected in the 95% implied probability for an outright winner. The single major-party matchup on each side makes it highly likely the Democratic nominee will clear 50% on election night, consistent with historical patterns in safe Democratic seats. Late developments such as unexpected turnout shifts remain the primary variables that could alter this positioning.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated95% chance
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
95% chance
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-13 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-13 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-13 House election.**The GA-13 seat, a heavily Democratic Atlanta-area district, features a consolidated November 3, 2026 general election matchup between Democrat Jasmine Clark and Republican Jonathan Chavez following the July 28 special election to fill the vacancy left by the late Rep. David Scott.**
In that special election, multiple Democratic candidates split the vote (Marcye Scott at ~46%, Everton Blair Jr. at ~37%), with Republicans receiving under 14% combined, preventing any outright majority and triggering an August 25 runoff between the two Democrats. This outcome, combined with the district’s consistent Democratic performance in prior cycles and the absence of vote-splitting dynamics in the two-candidate general, underpins the trader consensus reflected in the 95% implied probability for an outright winner.
The single major-party matchup on each side makes it highly likely the Democratic nominee will clear 50% on election night, consistent with historical patterns in safe Democratic seats. Late developments such as unexpected turnout shifts remain the primary variables that could alter this positioning.
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-13 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-13 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-13 House election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-13 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-13 House election.
Market Opened: Aug 14, 2026, 5:18 PM ET
Volume
$398End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 5:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-13 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-13 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-13 House election.**The GA-13 seat, a heavily Democratic Atlanta-area district, features a consolidated November 3, 2026 general election matchup between Democrat Jasmine Clark and Republican Jonathan Chavez following the July 28 special election to fill the vacancy left by the late Rep. David Scott.**
In that special election, multiple Democratic candidates split the vote (Marcye Scott at ~46%, Everton Blair Jr. at ~37%), with Republicans receiving under 14% combined, preventing any outright majority and triggering an August 25 runoff between the two Democrats. This outcome, combined with the district’s consistent Democratic performance in prior cycles and the absence of vote-splitting dynamics in the two-candidate general, underpins the trader consensus reflected in the 95% implied probability for an outright winner.
The single major-party matchup on each side makes it highly likely the Democratic nominee will clear 50% on election night, consistent with historical patterns in safe Democratic seats. Late developments such as unexpected turnout shifts remain the primary variables that could alter this positioning.
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-13 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-13 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-13 House election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-13 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-13 House election.
Volume
$398End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 5:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**The GA-13 seat, a heavily Democratic Atlanta-area district, features a consolidated November 3, 2026 general election matchup between Democrat Jasmine Clark and Republican Jonathan Chavez following the July 28 special election to fill the vacancy left by the late Rep. David Scott.** In that special election, multiple Democratic candidates split the vote (Marcye Scott at ~46%, Everton Blair Jr. at ~37%), with Republicans receiving under 14% combined, preventing any outright majority and triggering an August 25 runoff between the two Democrats. This outcome, combined with the district’s consistent Democratic performance in prior cycles and the absence of vote-splitting dynamics in the two-candidate general, underpins the trader consensus reflected in the 95% implied probability for an outright winner. The single major-party matchup on each side makes it highly likely the Democratic nominee will clear 50% on election night, consistent with historical patterns in safe Democratic seats. Late developments such as unexpected turnout shifts remain the primary variables that could alter this positioning.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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