Amy Acton leads the Ohio gubernatorial race in trader consensus at 55% implied probability against Vivek Ramaswamy at 44.5%, reflecting a closely contested general election on November 3, 2026. Both secured their party nominations in the May 5 primaries, with Ramaswamy winning the Republican contest decisively after receiving President Trump's endorsement and Acton advancing unopposed as the Democratic nominee. Recent polling from late August shows the candidates essentially tied or within a point or two, prompting ratings shifts to toss-up status from outlets like the Cook Political Report. Acton's emphasis on affordability and her prior role as state health director have bolstered Democratic hopes of ending a 20-year GOP gubernatorial winning streak in the state, while Ramaswamy's substantial fundraising and national profile keep the contest competitive.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$181,476 Vol.
$181,476 Vol.

Amy Acton (D)
55%

Vivek Ramaswamy (R)
45%
$181,476 Vol.
$181,476 Vol.

Amy Acton (D)
55%

Vivek Ramaswamy (R)
45%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Market Opened: Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Amy Acton leads the Ohio gubernatorial race in trader consensus at 55% implied probability against Vivek Ramaswamy at 44.5%, reflecting a closely contested general election on November 3, 2026. Both secured their party nominations in the May 5 primaries, with Ramaswamy winning the Republican contest decisively after receiving President Trump's endorsement and Acton advancing unopposed as the Democratic nominee. Recent polling from late August shows the candidates essentially tied or within a point or two, prompting ratings shifts to toss-up status from outlets like the Cook Political Report. Acton's emphasis on affordability and her prior role as state health director have bolstered Democratic hopes of ending a 20-year GOP gubernatorial winning streak in the state, while Ramaswamy's substantial fundraising and national profile keep the contest competitive.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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