Tennessee's U.S. Senate seat remains a strong Republican hold heading into the November 2026 general election, with traders pricing in the party's nominee at over 95 percent. Incumbent Bill Hagerty faces no serious primary opposition and benefits from the state's consistent Republican tilt, where the party has won every Senate contest since 1994. Multiple Democrats have entered the August primary, but none have demonstrated the fundraising or statewide profile needed to compete in a state that gave the Republican presidential nominee double-digit margins in recent cycles. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. A major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unprecedented national Democratic wave would be required to meaningfully alter the outcome before Election Day.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert$19,673 Vol.
$19,673 Vol.

Republikaner
95%

Demokrat
3%
$19,673 Vol.
$19,673 Vol.

Republikaner
95%

Demokrat
3%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Markt eröffnet: Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tennessee's U.S. Senate seat remains a strong Republican hold heading into the November 2026 general election, with traders pricing in the party's nominee at over 95 percent. Incumbent Bill Hagerty faces no serious primary opposition and benefits from the state's consistent Republican tilt, where the party has won every Senate contest since 1994. Multiple Democrats have entered the August primary, but none have demonstrated the fundraising or statewide profile needed to compete in a state that gave the Republican presidential nominee double-digit margins in recent cycles. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. A major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unprecedented national Democratic wave would be required to meaningfully alter the outcome before Election Day.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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